Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LIMA / SAN PEDRO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · LIMA / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO · municipal · MayorPY-02-017-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LIMA / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-0fdb523721cb232fe9a55f83
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • ALIANZA TODOS POR LIMA50.9%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO49.1%
Results for event-01b306311964de86306a70f8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA TODOS POR LIMA · JUAN MANUEL AVALOS VERAATPLparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,43250.9%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · JULIO CESAR FRANCO SOSAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,35049.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO DEL MOVIMIENTO PATRIOTICO POPULAR40.8%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.7%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS18.6%
  • PARTIDO UNACE1.8%
Results for event-fb2de00551d8280370d6e5c3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DEL MOVIMIENTO PATRIOTICO POPULAR · JUAN MANUEL AVALOS VERAPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,47340.8%1Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS CESAR CORONIL BAREIROANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,39738.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS · MIGUELA RAQUEL ROMERO FRANCOCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/201567218.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · MARIELA IBARRA GENESUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015641.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO39.1%
  • ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU22.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO17.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIAL PROGRESISTA LIMEÑO15.4%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS5.7%
Results for event-f24ce6c7f04e78b99235ec67
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ELIDA SOSA DE FRANCOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,25239.1%1Recorded
ALIANZA FRENTE GUASU · JUBENCIO ANTONIO CABRERA COHENEFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/201071722.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · ESTEBAN RAMON ALDERETEPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201055817.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIAL PROGRESISTA LIMEÑO · NICOLAS VERA RIQUELMEMSPLparaguay/S82789e1ede/201049415.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · JOHANNY MILAN SILVA MERIUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101845.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

83.350–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.7147636971978244, oldest_gap=16.692667706708267, previous_gap=2.1075984470327214

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.4percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[49.14261815140109,0,0,0,0,0,50.85738184859891],[38.74098724348308,0,0,0,1.7748197448696617,0,59.48419301164725],[39.06396255850234,17.410296411856475,0,0,5.741029641185648,22.371294851794072,15.413416536661467]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[49.14261815140109,0,0,0,0,0,50.85738184859891],[38.74098724348308,0,0,0,1.7748197448696617,0,59.48419301164725],[39.06396255850234,17.410296411856475,0,0,5.741029641185648,22.371294851794072,15.413416536661467]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.24percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[49.14261815140109,0,0,0,0,0,50.85738184859891],[38.74098724348308,0,0,0,1.7748197448696617,0,59.48419301164725],[39.06396255850234,17.410296411856475,0,0,5.741029641185648,22.371294851794072,15.413416536661467]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “LIMA / SAN PEDRO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-02-017-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.