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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GUAJAYVI / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · GUAJAYVI / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO · municipal · Municipal councilPY-02-013-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GUAJAYVI / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-319e78103ff865dfbf572aec
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO49.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO41.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU5.1%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDA2.0%
  • PARTIDO PATRIA SOÑADA1.0%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL1.0%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA0.7%
Results for event-f32224214810d57d812992e1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · OSVALDO GARCIA AREVALOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,59249.3%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20215,48041%4Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216895.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA QUERIDAPPQparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212612%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO PATRIA SOÑADAPSparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211331%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONALPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211311%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021930.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO42.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU5.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTA3.1%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS0.4%
  • PARTIDO UNACE0.3%
Results for event-984b197d5e4be7d8c622716c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · OSVALDO GARCIA AREVALOSANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,60548.4%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EVER HUGO AGUAYO LOPEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,00442.1%4Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · JUAN CARLOS FRANCO GAUTOFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155435.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO PROGRESISTAPDPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152953.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOSCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015420.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · CATALINO VERA CARDOZOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2015240.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO37.2%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA13.1%
  • CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASU6.2%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS3.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL0.9%
Results for event-5c7b6e297099c83b2c970718
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS ISIDRO BAEZ RODRIGUEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,84538.7%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EVER HUGO AGUAYO LOPEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,73537.2%5Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · SAMUEL AUGUSTO SAMUDIOPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/201096313.1%2Recorded
CONCERTACION FRENTE GUASU · ALSI BARRIOS PALACIOSFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20104566.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · GERARDO CATALINO BOGADO HERRERAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102863.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 20 DE ABRIL · ZOILO GONZALEZ LARROZAM20Aparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010660.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

64.840–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.311532999476789, oldest_gap=1.4963950482927473, previous_gap=6.317670556081147

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

2.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[49.2712459825099,40.959712983033114,0,1.9508184468196428,0,5.149861723596682,2.668360864040661],[48.407442447177544,42.0897718910964,0,0,0.2522863450015768,5.707978555660675,3.5425207610638076],[38.702217385389744,37.205822337097,0,0,3.890627125561148,6.203237654740851,13.998095497211263]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.59percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[49.2712459825099,40.959712983033114,0,1.9508184468196428,0,5.149861723596682,2.668360864040661],[48.407442447177544,42.0897718910964,0,0,0.2522863450015768,5.707978555660675,3.5425207610638076],[38.702217385389744,37.205822337097,0,0,3.890627125561148,6.203237654740851,13.998095497211263]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.7percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[49.2712459825099,40.959712983033114,0,1.9508184468196428,0,5.149861723596682,2.668360864040661],[48.407442447177544,42.0897718910964,0,0,0.2522863450015768,5.707978555660675,3.5425207610638076],[38.702217385389744,37.205822337097,0,0,3.890627125561148,6.203237654740851,13.998095497211263]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “GUAJAYVI / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-02-013-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.