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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAPIIBARY / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · CAPIIBARY / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO · municipal · Municipal councilPY-02-005-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAPIIBARY / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-cfca55bdb0c0dc82828bae16
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO42.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO38.2%
  • PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR9.9%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU4.1%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO3.7%
  • PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONAL1.5%
  • PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS0.6%
Results for event-ca98fe1f1590f847e61b4818
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RICHAR BAEZ CAREAGAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,90342%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216,28138.2%5Recorded
PARTIDO DEL MOV PATRIOTICO POPULAR · BELARMINO BALBUENA CARDOZOPMPPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20211,6319.9%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUCNFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216814.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANOPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/20216023.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO CRUZADA NACIONALPCNparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212541.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO NACIONAL UNAMONOS · MATILDE IRALA ESCOBARPNUparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021970.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO39.0%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO38.1%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU11.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO 18 DE JULIO5.2%
  • CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS4.3%
  • PARTIDO UNACE2.3%
Results for event-26b6fda815646d1641192253
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · CESAR DAVID GONZALEZ LOPEZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,65739%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · ENRIQUE GODOYANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20154,54438.1%4Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · BENIGNO RAMON GARCIA MENDOZAFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,31911.1%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO 18 DE JULIOM18paraguay/S82789e1ede/20156195.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION JUNTOS PODEMOS · FLORENCIO MARTINEZ FRANCOCJPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20155154.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · JUAN RAMON FELIPE RECALDE GALEANOUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20152772.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO36.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO34.8%
  • FRENTE GUASU DE CAPIIVARY15.6%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS9.1%
  • PARTIDO DE LA UNIDAD POPULAR4.1%
Results for event-54e38496dedd59e13348b8d7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · ENRIQUE GODOYANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,38436.4%5Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · FRANCISCO SOLANO GONZALEZ ORTIZPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103,23134.8%4Recorded
FRENTE GUASU DE CAPIIVARY · MARIA ESTHER LEIVA DE RUIZCFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,45115.6%2Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · BRUNO CESAR BENITEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/20108419.1%1Recorded
PARTIDO DE LA UNIDAD POPULAR · FLORENCIO MARTINEZ FRANCOPUPparaguay/S82789e1ede/20103854.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

86.410–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.78138488661925, oldest_gap=1.6465777012483827, previous_gap=0.947112563909144

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.08percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[41.96607696516506,38.18469207854581,0,0,0,4.140069305124932,15.709161651164205],[38.08565920710753,39.03277177101668,0,0,2.3216830106445396,11.055234263682843,9.504651747548404],[36.418424451140766,34.77184674989238,0,0,9.050796383986224,0,19.758932414980627]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.98percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[41.96607696516506,38.18469207854581,0,0,0,4.140069305124932,15.709161651164205],[38.08565920710753,39.03277177101668,0,0,2.3216830106445396,11.055234263682843,9.504651747548404],[36.418424451140766,34.77184674989238,0,0,9.050796383986224,0,19.758932414980627]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.53percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[41.96607696516506,38.18469207854581,0,0,0,4.140069305124932,15.709161651164205],[38.08565920710753,39.03277177101668,0,0,2.3216830106445396,11.055234263682843,9.504651747548404],[36.418424451140766,34.77184674989238,0,0,9.050796383986224,0,19.758932414980627]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “CAPIIBARY / SAN PEDRO — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-02-005-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.