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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

25 DE DICIEMBRE / SAN PEDRO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · 25 DE DICIEMBRE / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO · municipal · MayorPY-02-001-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
25 DE DICIEMBRE / SAN PEDRO / SAN PEDRO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-004e518aeebe16e16c26eed6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.3%
  • ALIANZA UNIDOS POR UN 2536.1%
  • MOV INDEPENDIENTE JUNTOS SOMOS MAS15.5%
Results for event-dae2fa5233e2396a3a3463dd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · PEDRO RAMON SANTA CRUZ BOGADOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20212,78948.3%1Recorded
ALIANZA UNIDOS POR UN 25 · ROBERT AGUSTIN VERA CACERESAU25paraguay/S82789e1ede/20212,08536.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
MOV INDEPENDIENTE JUNTOS SOMOS MAS · JULIO CESAR NUÑEZ BERNALMJSMparaguay/S82789e1ede/202189715.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO48.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO36.6%
  • PARTIDO UNACE10.0%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU4.8%
Results for event-a8d0a751c61166f7dcce3106
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · SINDULFO BENITEZ AVEIROANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,94448.5%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · BLAS ANTONIO ORTIGOZA SAMUDIOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151,46836.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO UNACE · TRANQUILINO CANDIA GIMENEZUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/201540110%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU · IGNACIO RAMON LARROZA MARTINEZFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20151944.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO54.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO40.6%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA3.3%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO1.2%
  • UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS0.6%
Results for event-7ca17a775ee2042ddc1f0c93
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · CARLOS HERNANDO ALVAREZ SPERANZAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/20102,06454.4%1Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · VICTOR RAMON LIUZZI VILLARPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101,54040.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO POPULAR TEKOJOJA · ISABELINO FARIÑA MELGAREJOPPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/20101263.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO · TRANQUILINO CANDIA GIMENEZPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010451.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION NACIONAL DE CIUDADANOS ETICOS · AURELIO MELLONE GORETTAUNACEparaguay/S82789e1ede/2010220.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 1996-11-17 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2001-11-18 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2006-11-19 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

38.680–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=12.19892566279674, oldest_gap=13.800368712141164, previous_gap=11.879211380084854

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[48.32784612718766,0,0,0,0,0,51.672153872812345],[48.5150985774894,36.63588719740454,0,0,10.007486897928626,4.841527327177439,0],[54.358704240189624,40.55833552804846,0,0,0.5794047932578351,0,4.503555438504082]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.27percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[48.32784612718766,0,0,0,0,0,51.672153872812345],[48.5150985774894,36.63588719740454,0,0,10.007486897928626,4.841527327177439,0],[54.358704240189624,40.55833552804846,0,0,0.5794047932578351,0,4.503555438504082]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.97percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[48.32784612718766,0,0,0,0,0,51.672153872812345],[48.5150985774894,36.63588719740454,0,0,10.007486897928626,4.841527327177439,0],[54.358704240189624,40.55833552804846,0,0,0.5794047932578351,0,4.503555438504082]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “25 DE DICIEMBRE / SAN PEDRO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-02-001-M. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.