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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN CARLOS DEL APA / CONCEPCION — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Paraguay · SAN CARLOS DEL APA / CONCEPCION / CONCEPCION · municipal · Municipal councilPY-01-006-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN CARLOS DEL APA / CONCEPCION / CONCEPCION
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-dac789d75993f879b3a8bdcc
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021-10-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO63.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO32.2%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO4.7%
Results for event-7a93489af705a7635a0052dd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · RAIMUNDO LEZCANO FERNANDEZANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/202146663.1%6Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · MANUELA APARECIDA CORONEL CAÑETEPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/202123832.2%3Recorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA CRISTIANO · JAVIER VILLALBA ORTIZPDCparaguay/S82789e1ede/2021354.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-11-15

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • MOVIMIENTO SAN CARLOS PARA TODOS37.8%
  • PARTIDO COLORADO32.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO18.5%
  • CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASU11.2%
Results for event-742befe149c1378a2540a50d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO SAN CARLOS PARA TODOS · HIGINIO SEBASTIAN FERNANDEZ RIQUELMEMSCPTparaguay/S82789e1ede/201525737.8%4Recorded
PARTIDO COLORADO · BRAULIO RAMON LEZCANO GALEANOANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201522132.5%3Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · NESTOR MARCIAL LOPEZ AVALOSPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201512618.5%1Recorded
CONCERTACION NACIONAL FRENTE GUASUFGparaguay/S82789e1ede/20157611.2%1Recorded

2010-11-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · valid votes

  • PARTIDO COLORADO75.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO24.1%
Results for event-bf0799e4a7248f4cefa57d00
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLORADO · LUIS ANIBAL SCHUPP MEDINAANRparaguay/S82789e1ede/201033375.9%7Recorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL RADICAL AUTENTICO · EDISON ARNALDO LEZCANO LESMOPLRAparaguay/S82789e1ede/201010624.1%2Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2009-08-30 · Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=30.852503382949926, oldest_gap=51.70842824601366, previous_gap=5.294117647058826

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.23percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[63.05818673883626,32.205683355886336,0,0,0,0,4.7361299052774015],[32.5,18.529411764705884,0,0,0,11.176470588235293,37.794117647058826],[75.85421412300683,24.145785876993166,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.97percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[63.05818673883626,32.205683355886336,0,0,0,0,4.7361299052774015],[32.5,18.529411764705884,0,0,0,11.176470588235293,37.794117647058826],[75.85421412300683,24.145785876993166,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Standalone ANR, PLRA, PEN, PPQ, UNACE and Frente Guasu; all other lists and mixed alliances in Other. No coalition vote is split among constituent parties. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ANR","PLRA","PEN","PPQ","UNACE","Frente Guasu","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[63.05818673883626,32.205683355886336,0,0,0,0,4.7361299052774015],[32.5,18.529411764705884,0,0,0,11.176470588235293,37.794117647058826],[75.85421412300683,24.145785876993166,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Municipality matched by department and name, with documented abbreviation/rename bridges. Historical numeric district codes are not stable. This is an identity bridge, not proof of unchanged boundaries. Replacement archive runs through November 2025; later events/current control require verification. Replacement elections sometimes contain only winner/seat evidence. New municipalities, boundary/party continuity and dated control remain incomplete. The separate ordinary-election baseline helps historical comparison but does not fill replacement losing-vote gaps.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN CARLOS DEL APA / CONCEPCION — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PY-01-006-C. Sources: paraguay--url-7428974d1a7032fc28d114b3, paraguay--S82789e1ede, paraguay--Sebfa7a567d.