Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAJAMARCA / CAJABAMBA / CONDEBAMBA — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · CAJAMARCA / CAJABAMBA / CONDEBAMBA / CAJAMARCA · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-ff6840f53c5fc8

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAJAMARCA / CAJABAMBA / CONDEBAMBA / CAJAMARCA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-941754eca8ba454faa66d175
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU34.2%
  • FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA25.8%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL17.8%
  • CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE9.8%
  • RENOVACION POPULAR4.7%
  • PODEMOS PERU4.7%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO1.7%
  • ACCION POPULAR1.3%
Results for event-e0c236aa864c751ebd0838bd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,88734.2%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCAperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,42225.8%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sc91a28be23/202298217.8%UnknownRecorded
CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDEperu/Sc91a28be23/20225409.8%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/20222594.7%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20222584.7%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sc91a28be23/2022941.7%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/2022701.3%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO36.6%
  • FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA27.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIAL11.8%
  • CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE6.9%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD5.8%
  • ACCION POPULAR4.0%
  • CONDEBAMBA TIERRA VERDE3.0%
  • FUERZA POPULAR1.9%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL1.7%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA1.2%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU0.0%
  • PERU LIBERTARIO0.0%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU0.0%
  • UNION POR EL PERU0.0%
Results for event-7cf0ba33e656a58f7eb44bb5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/201830436.6%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCAperu/S3a6d07677a/201822527.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIALperu/S3a6d07677a/20189811.8%UnknownRecorded
CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDEperu/S3a6d07677a/2018576.9%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S3a6d07677a/2018485.8%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/2018334%UnknownRecorded
CONDEBAMBA TIERRA VERDEperu/S3a6d07677a/2018253%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/2018161.9%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3a6d07677a/2018141.7%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S3a6d07677a/2018101.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PERU LIBERTARIOperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE22.1%
  • GLORIABAMBA19.8%
  • FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA15.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA SOCIAL CAJAMARCA10.7%
  • FUERZA POPULAR10.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIAL8.1%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO6.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE DIALOGO SOCIAL4.3%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO2.0%
Results for event-3cfb64e350ef1c470f783759
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDEperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,05422.1%UnknownRecorded
GLORIABAMBAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201494219.8%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201473815.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA SOCIAL CAJAMARCAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201450810.7%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201450610.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143888.1%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143316.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE DIALOGO SOCIALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142064.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014952%UnknownRecorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2019 · Special · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

59.240–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.436139332365752, oldest_gap=2.3489932885906057, previous_gap=9.518072289156628

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.7053701015965166,34.23439767779391,1.269956458635704,0,0,0,0,0,62.790275761973874],[36.626506024096386,0,3.9759036144578315,1.927710843373494,0,0,0,0,57.46987951807229],[6.942114093959732,0,0,10.61241610738255,1.9924496644295302,0,0,0,80.45302013422818]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.7053701015965166,34.23439767779391,1.269956458635704,0,0,0,0,0,62.790275761973874],[36.626506024096386,0,3.9759036144578315,1.927710843373494,0,0,0,0,57.46987951807229],[6.942114093959732,0,0,10.61241610738255,1.9924496644295302,0,0,0,80.45302013422818]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.7053701015965166,34.23439767779391,1.269956458635704,0,0,0,0,0,62.790275761973874],[36.626506024096386,0,3.9759036144578315,1.927710843373494,0,0,0,0,57.46987951807229],[6.942114093959732,0,0,10.61241610738255,1.9924496644295302,0,0,0,80.45302013422818]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CAJAMARCA / CAJABAMBA / CONDEBAMBA — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-ff6840f53c5fc8. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-e6afe95d405f88759ee65fb4, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53, peru--Sd5e707eb97.