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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAJAMARCA / CAJABAMBA — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · CAJAMARCA / CAJABAMBA / CAJAMARCA · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-ff16b618e123bb

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAJAMARCA / CAJABAMBA / CAJAMARCA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-079df5ac55282f3759541250
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA54.2%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU24.8%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL13.9%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO5.3%
  • ACCION POPULAR1.9%
Results for event-f56e9881fbad7ccee2c99fe0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCAperu/S3bc179da18/202217,19954.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20227,86624.8%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3bc179da18/20224,40513.9%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/20221,6805.3%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20226101.9%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO39.2%
  • FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA31.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIAL11.5%
  • ACCION POPULAR5.7%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD3.2%
  • PERU LIBERTARIO2.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA1.9%
  • UNION POR EL PERU1.5%
  • CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE1.2%
  • FUERZA POPULAR1.0%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU0.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU0.5%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA0.0%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL0.0%
  • CONDEBAMBA TIERRA VERDE0.0%
Results for event-ab9a31dfbb5b82c37d402a07
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/201811,02139.2%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20188,87531.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,21811.5%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,6045.7%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/Sbbedb7d378/20188913.2%UnknownRecorded
PERU LIBERTARIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185522%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185431.9%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184201.5%UnknownRecorded
CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDEperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183371.2%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182801%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182070.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181360.5%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CONDEBAMBA TIERRA VERDEperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE24.9%
  • GLORIABAMBA20.7%
  • FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA12.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIAL8.9%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO6.0%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO5.9%
  • ACCION POPULAR5.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA SOCIAL CAJAMARCA5.2%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA4.7%
  • FUERZA POPULAR4.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE DIALOGO SOCIAL1.1%
  • PERU POSIBLE0.6%
Results for event-d950d31279a7cb271c7533b7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDEperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20147,49224.9%UnknownRecorded
GLORIABAMBAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20146,24720.7%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,85612.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,6678.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,7956%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,7655.9%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,6445.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA SOCIAL CAJAMARCAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,5515.2%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,4184.7%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,1964%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE DIALOGO SOCIALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143171.1%UnknownRecorded
PERU POSIBLEperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141670.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=29.3860201511335, oldest_gap=4.134152415739667, previous_gap=7.641361629397519

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.24percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[5.289672544080605,24.767002518891687,1.920654911838791,0,0,0,0,0,68.02267002518892],[39.24298532972511,0.48426150121065376,5.711437117219769,0.9970089730807578,0,0,1.4955134596211366,0,52.068793619142575],[5.8608666777353475,0,5.459073551386353,3.9714428025900714,5.9604848082350985,0,0,0,78.74813216005312]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[5.289672544080605,24.767002518891687,1.920654911838791,0,0,0,0,0,68.02267002518892],[39.24298532972511,0.48426150121065376,5.711437117219769,0.9970089730807578,0,0,1.4955134596211366,0,52.068793619142575],[5.8608666777353475,0,5.459073551386353,3.9714428025900714,5.9604848082350985,0,0,0,78.74813216005312]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[5.289672544080605,24.767002518891687,1.920654911838791,0,0,0,0,0,68.02267002518892],[39.24298532972511,0.48426150121065376,5.711437117219769,0.9970089730807578,0,0,1.4955134596211366,0,52.068793619142575],[5.8608666777353475,0,5.459073551386353,3.9714428025900714,5.9604848082350985,0,0,0,78.74813216005312]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CAJAMARCA / CAJABAMBA — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-ff16b618e123bb. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.