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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

AYACUCHO / LA MAR / AYNA — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · AYACUCHO / LA MAR / AYNA / AYACUCHO · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-ef90b10185c98d

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AYACUCHO / LA MAR / AYNA / AYACUCHO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-d135f560212a673926d7f52e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO36.0%
  • ALIANZA POR NUESTRO DESARROLLO35.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL WARI LLAQTA18.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AGUA8.0%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE2.0%
Results for event-1e0e66ca181b9946cb9a2c6c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHOperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,69136%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA POR NUESTRO DESARROLLOperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,67535.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL WARI LLAQTAperu/Sc91a28be23/202286718.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AGUAperu/Sc91a28be23/20223748%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/Sc91a28be23/2022962%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO27.1%
  • DESARROLLO INTEGRAL AYACUCHO21.0%
  • TECNOLOGIA DE PUNTA PARA AYACUCHO17.7%
  • QATUN TARPUY14.7%
  • MUSUQ ÑAN8.6%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA6.2%
  • ACCION POPULAR2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL0.8%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD0.7%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.5%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO0.0%
Results for event-b7c451352273e4490d4eddd3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHOperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,18327.1%UnknownRecorded
DESARROLLO INTEGRAL AYACUCHOperu/S3a6d07677a/201892021%UnknownRecorded
TECNOLOGIA DE PUNTA PARA AYACUCHOperu/S3a6d07677a/201877317.7%UnknownRecorded
QATUN TARPUYperu/S3a6d07677a/201864414.7%UnknownRecorded
MUSUQ ÑANperu/S3a6d07677a/20183758.6%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/S3a6d07677a/20182736.2%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20181192.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONALperu/S3a6d07677a/2018350.8%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S3a6d07677a/2018290.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/S3a6d07677a/2018200.5%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ALIANZA RENACE AYACUCHO41.7%
  • MUSUQ ÑAN26.9%
  • ACCION POPULAR8.7%
  • FUERZA POPULAR7.2%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AYACUCHO4.2%
  • UNIDOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AYACUCHO3.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL3.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ETNOCACERISTA AYACUCHO2.4%
  • QATUN TARPUY0.9%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC0.8%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.1%
Results for event-8d3fdb549c5279e69f3ee129
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA RENACE AYACUCHOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,72041.7%UnknownRecorded
MUSUQ ÑANperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,11026.9%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143598.7%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142957.2%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AYACUCHOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141744.2%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AYACUCHOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141533.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141333.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ETNOCACERISTA AYACUCHOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014982.4%UnknownRecorded
QATUN TARPUYperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014380.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014340.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201460.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

82.550–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.3402083776312992, oldest_gap=14.805825242718445, previous_gap=6.016929764355982

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,2.7224891329215284,0,0.4575611988103409,0,0,0,96.81994966826814],[0,0,8.71359223300971,7.160194174757281,0.14563106796116504,0.8252427184466019,0,0,83.15533980582524]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.98percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,2.7224891329215284,0,0.4575611988103409,0,0,0,96.81994966826814],[0,0,8.71359223300971,7.160194174757281,0.14563106796116504,0.8252427184466019,0,0,83.15533980582524]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,2.7224891329215284,0,0.4575611988103409,0,0,0,96.81994966826814],[0,0,8.71359223300971,7.160194174757281,0.14563106796116504,0.8252427184466019,0,0,83.15533980582524]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AYACUCHO / LA MAR / AYNA — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-ef90b10185c98d. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.