Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

HUANUCO / LEONCIO PRADO / JOSE CRESPO Y CASTILLO — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · HUANUCO / LEONCIO PRADO / JOSE CRESPO Y CASTILLO / HUANUCO · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-dd105d31a48f76

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
HUANUCO / LEONCIO PRADO / JOSE CRESPO Y CASTILLO / HUANUCO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-ec1d27a65f5bc09c88b84202
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL37.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL HUANUCO PRIMERO22.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CAMBIEMOS X HCO19.0%
  • TODOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO10.0%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO8.4%
  • FUERZA POPULAR2.2%
Results for event-d330d8b7b272c25ec96d0b3d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sc91a28be23/20224,25337.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL HUANUCO PRIMEROperu/Sc91a28be23/20222,59322.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CAMBIEMOS X HCOperu/Sc91a28be23/20222,15819%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,13310%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sc91a28be23/20229588.4%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/20222512.2%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ACCION POPULAR22.0%
  • AVANZADA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS POR HUANUCO22.0%
  • FUERZA POPULAR16.7%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP10.1%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO6.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CAMBIEMOS X HCO6.2%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU4.3%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU4.0%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL2.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO FRENTE AMPLIO REGIONAL PAISANOCUNA2.2%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD2.1%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL0.7%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU0.4%
  • VAMOS PERU0.2%
  • UNION POR EL PERU0.0%
Results for event-1a8d82490163c48b6654d10c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,37922%UnknownRecorded
AVANZADA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS POR HUANUCOperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,37722%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,80316.7%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,09510.1%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/20187506.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CAMBIEMOS X HCOperu/S3a6d07677a/20186676.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20184674.3%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20184334%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3a6d07677a/20182352.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO FRENTE AMPLIO REGIONAL PAISANOCUNAperu/S3a6d07677a/20182352.2%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S3a6d07677a/20182312.1%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S3a6d07677a/2018740.7%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/2018470.4%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/2018240.2%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/201850%UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO HECHOS Y NO PALABRAS21.6%
  • AVANZADA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS POR HUANUCO18.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION DESCENTRALISTA12.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL LUCHEMOS POR HUANUCO9.7%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO6.6%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU6.5%
  • CUENTA CONMIGO6.3%
  • AUTENTICO REGIONAL5.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO FRENTE AMPLIO REGIONAL PAISANOCUNA3.1%
  • ACCION POPULAR2.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL2.0%
  • FUERZA POPULAR1.9%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD1.2%
  • UNION POR EL PERU1.2%
  • VAMOS PERU0.8%
Results for event-7dd947b37abc0907880721f2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO HECHOS Y NO PALABRASperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,58621.6%UnknownRecorded
AVANZADA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS POR HUANUCOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,21118.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION DESCENTRALISTAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,54012.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL LUCHEMOS POR HUANUCOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,1569.7%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20147966.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20147776.5%UnknownRecorded
CUENTA CONMIGOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20147546.3%UnknownRecorded
AUTENTICO REGIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20147005.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO FRENTE AMPLIO REGIONAL PAISANOCUNAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143733.1%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142392%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142342%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142331.9%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141421.2%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141381.2%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014950.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

54.510–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.630706857042128, oldest_gap=3.1317855353265394, previous_gap=0.018480872297171658

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[8.443504318702626,0,0,2.212233386215406,0,0,0,0,89.34426229508198],[6.93032711143966,4.3152836813897615,21.9829975974866,16.660506375900944,0,0,0.046202180742931066,10.118277582701904,39.946405470338206],[6.6477367629864705,6.489059629196593,1.995991314514782,1.9458827459495573,0,0,1.152497077000167,0,81.76883247035241]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[8.443504318702626,0,0,2.212233386215406,0,0,0,0,89.34426229508198],[6.93032711143966,4.3152836813897615,21.9829975974866,16.660506375900944,0,0,0.046202180742931066,10.118277582701904,39.946405470338206],[6.6477367629864705,6.489059629196593,1.995991314514782,1.9458827459495573,0,0,1.152497077000167,0,81.76883247035241]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[8.443504318702626,0,0,2.212233386215406,0,0,0,0,89.34426229508198],[6.93032711143966,4.3152836813897615,21.9829975974866,16.660506375900944,0,0,0.046202180742931066,10.118277582701904,39.946405470338206],[6.6477367629864705,6.489059629196593,1.995991314514782,1.9458827459495573,0,0,1.152497077000167,0,81.76883247035241]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “HUANUCO / LEONCIO PRADO / JOSE CRESPO Y CASTILLO — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-dd105d31a48f76. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.