Office briefing
AREQUIPA / CAMANA / MARIANO NICOLAS VALCARCEL — District municipal ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Peru · AREQUIPA / CAMANA / MARIANO NICOLAS VALCARCEL / AREQUIPA · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-cb92446d03702f
Read the complete original research briefing
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- AREQUIPA / CAMANA / MARIANO NICOLAS VALCARCEL / AREQUIPA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-8ec9704c16d3f6d6d0ca4d73
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2022-10-02
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE27.9%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORA24.4%
- FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA21.6%
- AREQUIPA RENACE14.4%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU6.3%
- AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO2.8%
- AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION2.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 593 | 27.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORA | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 519 | 24.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 458 | 21.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA RENACE | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 306 | 14.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 133 | 6.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 59 | 2.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 55 | 2.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
2018-10-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO47.3%
- FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA38.0%
- AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO8.1%
- AREQUIPA RENACE5.7%
- ACCION POPULAR1.0%
- PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU0.0%
- RESTAURACION NACIONAL0.0%
- VAMOS PERU0.0%
- AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION0.0%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS0.0%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIA0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 827 | 47.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 665 | 38% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 141 | 8.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA RENACE | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 99 | 5.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION POPULAR | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 18 | 1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| RESTAURACION NACIONAL | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| VAMOS PERU | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIA | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
2014-10-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA42.8%
- AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO21.6%
- AREQUIPA RENACE15.3%
- VAMOS AREQUIPA6.6%
- JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA5.7%
- VAMOS PERU4.6%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AREQUIPA3.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 568 | 42.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 287 | 21.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA RENACE | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 203 | 15.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| VAMOS AREQUIPA | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 87 | 6.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 76 | 5.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| VAMOS PERU | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 61 | 4.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AREQUIPA | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 46 | 3.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI65.080–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.4856335374470078, oldest_gap=21.15963855421687, previous_gap=9.25714285714286
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility48.29percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,6.264719736222327,0,0,0,0,0,0,93.73528026377767],[47.25714285714286,0,1.0285714285714285,0,0,0,0,0,51.714285714285715],null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,6.264719736222327,0,0,0,0,0,0,93.73528026377767],[47.25714285714286,0,1.0285714285714285,0,0,0,0,0,51.714285714285715],null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,6.264719736222327,0,0,0,0,0,0,93.73528026377767],[47.25714285714286,0,1.0285714285714285,0,0,0,0,0,51.714285714285715],null]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}
other · open
2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.
other · open
Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.
other · open
Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}
other · open
Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.
other · open
Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.
Sources
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-distritales-2022-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-distritales-2018-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-distritales-2014-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Distritales 2022 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Distritales 2018 - [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Distritales 2014 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “AREQUIPA / CAMANA / MARIANO NICOLAS VALCARCEL — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-cb92446d03702f. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.