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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TUMBES / ZARUMILLA — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · TUMBES / ZARUMILLA / TUMBES · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-c2774cb6e11836

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TUMBES / ZARUMILLA / TUMBES
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-6979c92790aa7ca7865007dc
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO29.9%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 202118.6%
  • ACCION POPULAR16.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONAL15.0%
  • UNIDAD, EXPERIENCIA Y TRABAJO CON ETICA8.5%
  • FUERZA POPULAR4.3%
  • RENOVACION POPULAR2.3%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL2.3%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU2.1%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU0.9%
Results for event-4149173a1940a43b287983a6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/20227,03529.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/S3bc179da18/20224,38718.6%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20223,81316.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONALperu/S3bc179da18/20223,53915%UnknownRecorded
UNIDAD, EXPERIENCIA Y TRABAJO CON ETICAperu/S3bc179da18/20222,0078.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20221,0114.3%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20225442.3%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3bc179da18/20225372.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20224862.1%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20222070.9%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SEGURIDAD E INTEGRACION34.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL FAENA21.0%
  • FUERZA POPULAR15.0%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO11.9%
  • RENOVACION TUMBESINA11.0%
  • ACCION POPULAR5.0%
  • VAMOS PERU1.0%
  • PERU NACION0.9%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL0.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONAL0.0%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC0.0%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD0.0%
  • AGUAS VERDES NUEVA GENERACION0.0%
  • CONTIGO AGUAS VERDES0.0%
Results for event-eef70efded07a7a3b271737a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SEGURIDAD E INTEGRACIONperu/Sbbedb7d378/20187,62434.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL FAENAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184,68121%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,35415%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,65011.9%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION TUMBESINAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,45611%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,1075%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182331%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182000.9%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION REGIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
AGUAS VERDES NUEVA GENERACIONperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CONTIGO AGUAS VERDESperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • 24 DE JULIO22.2%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL18.2%
  • ZARUMILLA UNIDA AL DESARROLLO16.7%
  • NUEVA ALTERNATIVA15.9%
  • YA ES LA HORA8.9%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO8.2%
  • FUERZA POPULAR3.8%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU2.3%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC1.7%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD1.3%
  • VAMOS PERU0.7%
Results for event-54b95cf7a2c97849b3151c9a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
24 DE JULIOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144,93022.2%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144,04718.2%UnknownRecorded
ZARUMILLA UNIDA AL DESARROLLOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,71116.7%UnknownRecorded
NUEVA ALTERNATIVAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,52515.9%UnknownRecorded
YA ES LA HORAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,9868.9%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,8228.2%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20148523.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145022.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143881.7%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142841.3%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141630.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

44.510–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=11.236527200203685, oldest_gap=3.975686627645203, previous_gap=13.194351042367181

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[29.85232962742935,2.0622931341763557,16.180089960112024,4.290078927268098,0,0,0,0,47.61520835101417],[11.880744227751626,0,4.9630127774041695,15.03698722259583,0,0,0,0,68.11925577224837],[8.203511931562359,2.260243133723548,0,3.8361098604232327,0,1.7469608284556506,0,0,83.95317424583521]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[29.85232962742935,2.0622931341763557,16.180089960112024,4.290078927268098,0,0,0,0,47.61520835101417],[11.880744227751626,0,4.9630127774041695,15.03698722259583,0,0,0,0,68.11925577224837],[8.203511931562359,2.260243133723548,0,3.8361098604232327,0,1.7469608284556506,0,0,83.95317424583521]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[29.85232962742935,2.0622931341763557,16.180089960112024,4.290078927268098,0,0,0,0,47.61520835101417],[11.880744227751626,0,4.9630127774041695,15.03698722259583,0,0,0,0,68.11925577224837],[8.203511931562359,2.260243133723548,0,3.8361098604232327,0,1.7469608284556506,0,0,83.95317424583521]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TUMBES / ZARUMILLA — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-c2774cb6e11836. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.