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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ANCASH / HUARMEY — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · ANCASH / HUARMEY / ANCASH · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-bec77c52ca87d8

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ANCASH / HUARMEY / ANCASH
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-016cf2558b3ae86e673b7d6c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITO26.4%
  • SOCIOS POR ANCASH17.9%
  • ALIANZA GOBIERNO UNIDAD Y ACCION - AGUA16.1%
  • ACCION POPULAR10.1%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO7.5%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20217.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANO4.7%
  • FUERZA POPULAR4.3%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE3.0%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL2.8%
Results for event-909be4f11a9326adab20cd22
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITOperu/S3bc179da18/20224,69826.4%UnknownRecorded
SOCIOS POR ANCASHperu/S3bc179da18/20223,18517.9%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA GOBIERNO UNIDAD Y ACCION - AGUAperu/S3bc179da18/20222,86316.1%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20221,80210.1%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/20221,3337.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/S3bc179da18/20221,2657.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANOperu/S3bc179da18/20228424.7%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20227594.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/S3bc179da18/20225313%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3bc179da18/20225062.8%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU28.3%
  • FUERZA POPULAR19.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITO15.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL ANCASH A LA OBRA9.0%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS7.8%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO6.4%
  • ACCION POPULAR4.3%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANO2.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ANDE - MAR1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL RIO SANTA CAUDALOSO0.9%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL HORA CERO0.7%
  • PERU NACION0.4%
Results for event-01f723f5d19721391649c5be
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184,75628.3%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,21819.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,62515.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL ANCASH A LA OBRAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,5169%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,3087.8%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,0806.4%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20187244.3%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184572.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183332%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ANDE - MARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183141.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL RIO SANTA CAUDALOSOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181480.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181180.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL HORA CEROperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181160.7%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018640.4%UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PURO CORAZON35.6%
  • LINDO HUARMEY22.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL RIO SANTA CAUDALOSO19.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITO10.5%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO3.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ANDE - MAR2.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANO2.3%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU1.6%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO1.6%
  • RENOVACION ANCASHINA0.5%
Results for event-fc6f473681e70824db1f9b27
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PURO CORAZONperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145,83635.6%UnknownRecorded
LINDO HUARMEYperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,66922.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL RIO SANTA CAUDALOSOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,17219.3%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,72610.5%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145363.3%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ANDE - MARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144712.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143812.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142681.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142591.6%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION ANCASHINAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/2014870.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

54.120–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.507647323436796, oldest_gap=13.209387381895766, previous_gap=9.16731239196519

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[7.495501574448943,0,10.132703553756185,4.267881241565452,0,0,0,0,78.10391363022941],[6.4373845145139175,28.34833402872981,4.315431841211182,19.18102163676462,0.703343863622817,0,0,0,41.014484115157664],[3.2672965559280707,1.6336482779640353,0,0,1.5787869551965865,0,0,0,93.5202682109113]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[7.495501574448943,0,10.132703553756185,4.267881241565452,0,0,0,0,78.10391363022941],[6.4373845145139175,28.34833402872981,4.315431841211182,19.18102163676462,0.703343863622817,0,0,0,41.014484115157664],[3.2672965559280707,1.6336482779640353,0,0,1.5787869551965865,0,0,0,93.5202682109113]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[7.495501574448943,0,10.132703553756185,4.267881241565452,0,0,0,0,78.10391363022941],[6.4373845145139175,28.34833402872981,4.315431841211182,19.18102163676462,0.703343863622817,0,0,0,41.014484115157664],[3.2672965559280707,1.6336482779640353,0,0,1.5787869551965865,0,0,0,93.5202682109113]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ANCASH / HUARMEY — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-bec77c52ca87d8. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.