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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / CERRO COLORADO — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / CERRO COLORADO / AREQUIPA · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-af1c3768f01025

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / CERRO COLORADO / AREQUIPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-0af8b8878e7cdc012ef2ae51
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO28.7%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA26.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS13.0%
  • YO AREQUIPA8.0%
  • AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION5.8%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO4.4%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE3.9%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA3.5%
  • AREQUIPA RENACE2.4%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU1.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORA1.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU0.8%
Results for event-41724bd6817842dd8ab83e29
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTUROperu/Sc91a28be23/202227,31028.7%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/Sc91a28be23/202225,36526.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/Sc91a28be23/202212,36913%UnknownRecorded
YO AREQUIPAperu/Sc91a28be23/20227,6038%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACIONperu/Sc91a28be23/20225,5375.8%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sc91a28be23/20224,2304.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/Sc91a28be23/20223,7483.9%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/Sc91a28be23/20223,2983.5%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/Sc91a28be23/20222,2672.4%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,3991.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORAperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,3261.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20227890.8%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS28.5%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA18.4%
  • AREQUIPA RENACE10.2%
  • ACCION POPULAR5.7%
  • TODOS POR AREQUIPA5.3%
  • AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO4.8%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU3.8%
  • AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION3.5%
  • VAMOS PERU3.3%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA3.2%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS2.8%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD2.6%
  • TODOS POR EL PERU1.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIA1.7%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU1.5%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA1.2%
  • JUNTOS POR EL SUR1.2%
  • UNION POR EL PERU0.6%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO0.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.0%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP0.0%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC0.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL0.0%
Results for event-d49bf1024fe5a426486554af
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/S3a6d07677a/201822,75628.5%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/S3a6d07677a/201814,67018.4%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/S3a6d07677a/20188,13010.2%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20184,5905.7%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR AREQUIPAperu/S3a6d07677a/20184,2315.3%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/S3a6d07677a/20183,8064.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20183,0403.8%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACIONperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,7563.5%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,6173.3%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,5753.2%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,2002.8%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,0722.6%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,4571.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIAperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,3801.7%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,2271.5%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/S3a6d07677a/20189471.2%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL SURperu/S3a6d07677a/20189201.2%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20184990.6%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SE DEMOSTRO CON OBRAS25.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS20.2%
  • AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO8.1%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA7.1%
  • AREQUIPA RENACE6.1%
  • VAMOS PERU6.1%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA5.1%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL4.6%
  • VAMOS AREQUIPA3.5%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU2.1%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL2.1%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS2.0%
  • FUERZA POPULAR1.8%
  • UNION POR EL PERU1.2%
  • ACCION POPULAR1.2%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA1.2%
  • PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO1.2%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AREQUIPA1.1%
Results for event-ffc0ca1f1ac2926fdb8a5f1a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SE DEMOSTRO CON OBRASperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201419,59425.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201415,53720.2%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20146,1818.1%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20145,4357.1%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20144,6956.1%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20144,6456.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143,8985.1%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143,5334.6%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS AREQUIPAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,6563.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,6012.1%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,5982.1%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,5292%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,3751.8%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20149251.2%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20149011.2%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20148991.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20148881.2%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AREQUIPAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20148761.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

76.050–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.042187713274746, oldest_gap=5.28489174895136, previous_gap=10.123571169231155

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[4.441364538381579,0.8284247330456421,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.73021072857276],[0,3.8060420918207654,5.746622763637274,0,0,0,0.6247417775718954,0,89.82259336697007],[0,2.0855587108876326,1.1736966886381992,1.791157543704244,0,0,1.2049605294010368,0,93.74462652736888]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.29percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[4.441364538381579,0.8284247330456421,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.73021072857276],[0,3.8060420918207654,5.746622763637274,0,0,0,0.6247417775718954,0,89.82259336697007],[0,2.0855587108876326,1.1736966886381992,1.791157543704244,0,0,1.2049605294010368,0,93.74462652736888]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

7.82percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[4.441364538381579,0.8284247330456421,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.73021072857276],[0,3.8060420918207654,5.746622763637274,0,0,0,0.6247417775718954,0,89.82259336697007],[0,2.0855587108876326,1.1736966886381992,1.791157543704244,0,0,1.2049605294010368,0,93.74462652736888]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / CERRO COLORADO — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-af1c3768f01025. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.