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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

JUNIN / CHANCHAMAYO / SAN LUIS DE SHUARO — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · JUNIN / CHANCHAMAYO / SAN LUIS DE SHUARO / JUNIN · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-a64c4971498d85

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
JUNIN / CHANCHAMAYO / SAN LUIS DE SHUARO / JUNIN
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-6f8212b78df67d198b8e8eb6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNIN41.3%
  • JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTE15.9%
  • RENOVACION POPULAR12.5%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO9.2%
  • FUERZA POPULAR9.2%
  • CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNIN4.3%
  • JUNIN RENACE3.8%
  • CORAZON PATRIOTA2.6%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE1.3%
Results for event-d6759e2f82c7aca260c2111d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNINperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,20241.3%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTEperu/Sc91a28be23/202246315.9%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/202236512.5%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sc91a28be23/20222679.2%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/20222679.2%UnknownRecorded
CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNINperu/Sc91a28be23/20221244.3%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN RENACEperu/Sc91a28be23/20221113.8%UnknownRecorded
CORAZON PATRIOTAperu/Sc91a28be23/2022752.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/Sc91a28be23/2022391.3%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNIN27.0%
  • FUERZA POPULAR23.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBRE23.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNIN15.2%
  • UNION POR EL PERU5.1%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO3.4%
  • JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTE2.6%
  • PERU NACION0.7%
  • ACCION POPULAR0.0%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL0.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.0%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP0.0%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA0.0%
Results for event-e9657e32e973216ce33929be
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNINperu/S3a6d07677a/201871627%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/201861023%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBREperu/S3a6d07677a/201860923%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNINperu/S3a6d07677a/201840215.2%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20181365.1%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/2018893.4%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTEperu/S3a6d07677a/2018702.6%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/S3a6d07677a/2018180.7%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FUERZA POPULAR29.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBRE21.0%
  • JUNIN EMPRENDEDORES RUMBO AL 2116.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL BLOQUE POPULAR JUNIN16.0%
  • JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTE9.0%
  • JUNTOS POR JUNIN8.5%
Results for event-a49f315ec6120c9cd03d89b3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201478929.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBREperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201456321%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN EMPRENDEDORES RUMBO AL 21peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/201443216.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL BLOQUE POPULAR JUNINperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201442916%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTEperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142419%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR JUNINperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142278.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

13.680–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=25.369035358736703, oldest_gap=8.42969041402462, previous_gap=4

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[9.165808444902163,0,0,9.165808444902163,0,0,0,0,81.66838311019566],[3.358490566037736,0,0,23.0188679245283,0,0,5.132075471698113,0,68.49056603773586],[0,0,0,29.429317418873556,0,0,0,0,70.57068258112645]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.49percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[9.165808444902163,0,0,9.165808444902163,0,0,0,0,81.66838311019566],[3.358490566037736,0,0,23.0188679245283,0,0,5.132075471698113,0,68.49056603773586],[0,0,0,29.429317418873556,0,0,0,0,70.57068258112645]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[9.165808444902163,0,0,9.165808444902163,0,0,0,0,81.66838311019566],[3.358490566037736,0,0,23.0188679245283,0,0,5.132075471698113,0,68.49056603773586],[0,0,0,29.429317418873556,0,0,0,0,70.57068258112645]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “JUNIN / CHANCHAMAYO / SAN LUIS DE SHUARO — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-a64c4971498d85. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.