Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Source publication

AYACUCHO — Governor

Original research briefing. Source qualifications and evidence gaps are retained; active scripts and styling have been removed for safe display.

Back to structured office record

AYACUCHO — Governor
Latin America register

Peru · AYACUCHO

AYACUCHO — Governor

1,942 main regional/municipal ballots plus 3,086 provisionally tracked populated-centre slates: 3,085 in INEI’s 2026 directory plus one unresolved older-directory entry. Restored 102 unaffected 2022 returns excluded by an overly broad malformed-row rule; five affected units remain quarantined. Pión’s failed 2022–2025 attempts are excluded from completed cycles; Cajamarca Ninabamba’s final 2025 election replaces its failed attempts in the selected series. Official centre calls, seat proclamations and current control remain open. JNE 0590-2025 resolves Ninabamba with final 2025 votes and six elected authorities, and Pión with a final annulment and continuation of its 2018 authorities. Finally annulled attempts are not counted as unresolved decisions or valid mandates. The 2026 directory adds 78 office records, a documented Manitea Alta code/district bridge, three name corrections and 3,085 dated mayor records as of 13 March 2026. It is not the 3,382-roll election register; 26 cohort matches remain separately corroborated.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles0 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 33.5/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-03. Sample 982; reported margin of error ±3.00 percentage points. Earlier comparison wave; named officeholder and question wording retained. Outgoing-president evaluation, not the new administration baseline. Poll report

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-03. Sample 1,769; reported margin of error ±2.00 percentage points. The July question evaluates outgoing José Balcázar and August evaluates Keiko Fujimori. No within-president change is computed. The new administration has a small positive approval balance and 16.9% unsure; this does not establish movement in regional or municipal voting intentions. Poll report

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. Decisive 2014/2018/2022 runoffs are joined to the ordinary election. Special elections, court replacements and current officeholders still require separate checks.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2022-10-02 · ordinary

Coverage: Official vote returns; certified seats and event validity require JNE reconciliation

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid candidate/list votes

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL WARI LLAQTA138,96546.79%—
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AGUA101,54834.19%—
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO37,56512.65%—
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU7,3312.47%—
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO5,9051.99%—
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20215,6551.90%—

Result source

2018-12-09 · ordinary

Coverage: Secondary full decisive-round transcription; original official certificate remains pending

Basis: Decisive-round candidate votes as share of affirmative candidate votes. First round is retained as part of the same event, not counted as another history.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
MUSUQ ÑANCarlos Rua Carbajal150,11158.90%—
QATUN TARPUYRichard Prado Ramos104,75341.10%—

Result source

First round of the same election

CandidatePartyVotesShare
MUSUQ ÑAN79,94028.08%
QATUN TARPUY67,16323.60%
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO36,89312.96%
DESARROLLO INTEGRAL AYACUCHO35,63812.52%
TECNOLOGIA DE PUNTA PARA AYACUCHO18,1486.38%
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO14,2295.00%
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD10,2963.62%
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL7,8842.77%
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO6,2892.21%
PERU LIBERTARIO5,4581.92%
TODOS POR EL PERU2,7020.95%
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA00.00%

2018-10-07; valid votes 284,640; First-round source

2014-10-05 · ordinary

Coverage: Official vote returns; certified seats and event validity require JNE reconciliation

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid candidate/list votes

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA RENACE AYACUCHO87,36431.73%—
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AYACUCHO76,16527.66%—
MUSUQ ÑAN36,45313.24%—
FUERZA POPULAR21,8167.92%—
UNIDOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AYACUCHO21,6817.88%—
QATUN TARPUY20,3477.39%—
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO6,4502.34%—
PERU POSIBLE3,2251.17%—
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC1,0720.39%—
PERU PATRIA SEGURA7410.27%—

Result source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PE-98fdcf7d56ef20.