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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LIMA / CANTA — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · LIMA / CANTA / LIMA · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-973a9f34699f7d

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LIMA / CANTA / LIMA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-8174f96b7d026484906490b1
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PATRIA JOVEN26.7%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU20.6%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO18.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL UNIDAD CIVICA LIMA16.4%
  • CONCERTACION PARA EL DESARROLLO REGIONAL - LIMA14.5%
  • FUERZA POPULAR1.9%
  • RENOVACION POPULAR1.5%
Results for event-9b762f8e41394b7ee0ee9226
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PATRIA JOVENperu/S3bc179da18/20222,03026.7%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20221,56620.6%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/20221,39718.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL UNIDAD CIVICA LIMAperu/S3bc179da18/20221,24416.4%UnknownRecorded
CONCERTACION PARA EL DESARROLLO REGIONAL - LIMAperu/S3bc179da18/20221,10414.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20221411.9%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20221171.5%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PATRIA JOVEN27.3%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO22.9%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS14.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL UNIDAD CIVICA LIMA11.5%
  • FUERZA REGIONAL10.9%
  • CONCERTACION PARA EL DESARROLLO REGIONAL - LIMA6.0%
  • TODOS POR EL CAMBIO3.7%
  • ACCION POPULAR2.3%
  • FUERZA POPULAR1.3%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP0.0%
Results for event-5b90e1c404dd102c42feb285
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PATRIA JOVENperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,01627.3%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,68722.9%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,03514%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL UNIDAD CIVICA LIMAperu/Sbbedb7d378/201885211.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REGIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/201880310.9%UnknownRecorded
CONCERTACION PARA EL DESARROLLO REGIONAL - LIMAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184396%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL CAMBIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182763.7%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181732.3%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018971.3%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS29.5%
  • PATRIA JOVEN19.9%
  • FUERZA REGIONAL18.8%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO14.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL UNIDAD CIVICA LIMA6.7%
  • CONCERTACION PARA EL DESARROLLO REGIONAL - LIMA5.1%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL3.1%
  • FUERZA POPULAR2.2%
Results for event-ed6370b4f89e7e61e73c6c0f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,49229.5%UnknownRecorded
PATRIA JOVENperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,68019.9%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REGIONALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,59018.8%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,23114.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL UNIDAD CIVICA LIMAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145626.7%UnknownRecorded
CONCERTACION PARA EL DESARROLLO REGIONAL - LIMAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144325.1%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142623.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141892.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

70.180–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.106066587708909, oldest_gap=9.623133443944063, previous_gap=4.459203036053129

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.83percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[18.383997894459796,0,0,1.855507303592578,0,0,0,0,79.76049480194763],[22.865275142314992,0,2.344808891298455,1.3147194361615615,0,0,0,0,73.47519653022499],[14.588765110215691,0,0,2.239867267124911,0,0,0,0,83.1713676226594]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

10.62percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[18.383997894459796,0,0,1.855507303592578,0,0,0,0,79.76049480194763],[22.865275142314992,0,2.344808891298455,1.3147194361615615,0,0,0,0,73.47519653022499],[14.588765110215691,0,0,2.239867267124911,0,0,0,0,83.1713676226594]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.72percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[18.383997894459796,0,0,1.855507303592578,0,0,0,0,79.76049480194763],[22.865275142314992,0,2.344808891298455,1.3147194361615615,0,0,0,0,73.47519653022499],[14.588765110215691,0,0,2.239867267124911,0,0,0,0,83.1713676226594]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LIMA / CANTA — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-973a9f34699f7d. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.