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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

AREQUIPA / CAMANA / NICOLAS DE PIEROLA — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · AREQUIPA / CAMANA / NICOLAS DE PIEROLA / AREQUIPA · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-915bdd94f90cda

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AREQUIPA / CAMANA / NICOLAS DE PIEROLA / AREQUIPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-676e8a35f274135a9a49cf3d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA29.7%
  • AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO17.0%
  • AREQUIPA RENACE15.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORA9.2%
  • ACCION POPULAR7.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU5.7%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE5.1%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU5.0%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA3.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS2.1%
Results for event-ac7bee830d4136c9386c366b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,26929.7%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTUROperu/Sc91a28be23/202272417%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/Sc91a28be23/202266515.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORAperu/Sc91a28be23/20223929.2%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/20223177.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20222445.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/Sc91a28be23/20222195.1%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20222155%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/Sc91a28be23/20221303%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/Sc91a28be23/2022912.1%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • AREQUIPA RENACE24.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIA23.2%
  • ACCION POPULAR22.7%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO11.9%
  • AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO7.9%
  • AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION5.7%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA4.4%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU0.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL0.0%
  • VAMOS PERU0.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS0.0%
Results for event-8da9c46e254b1d7c3cb9c7c3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,02724.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIAperu/S3a6d07677a/201898523.2%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/201896422.7%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/201850411.9%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/S3a6d07677a/20183357.9%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACIONperu/S3a6d07677a/20182415.7%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/S3a6d07677a/20181864.4%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • AREQUIPA RENACE34.6%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA15.3%
  • AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO15.1%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA10.8%
  • FUERZA POPULAR10.2%
  • VAMOS PERU7.3%
  • UNION POR EL PERU3.6%
  • VAMOS AREQUIPA3.1%
Results for event-72b6f760d6bb6d2824acc7ba
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,38134.6%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201461015.3%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTUROperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201460315.1%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201443110.8%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201440810.2%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142907.3%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141443.6%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS AREQUIPAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141233.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

50.530–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=12.77543366150961, oldest_gap=19.32330827067669, previous_gap=0.990099009900991

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.18percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,5.719643694327239,7.4308485700890765,0,0,0,0,0,86.84950773558369],[11.881188118811881,0,22.725129655822727,0,0,0,0,0,65.3936822253654],[0,0,0,10.225563909774436,0,0,3.6090225563909772,0,86.16541353383458]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,5.719643694327239,7.4308485700890765,0,0,0,0,0,86.84950773558369],[11.881188118811881,0,22.725129655822727,0,0,0,0,0,65.3936822253654],[0,0,0,10.225563909774436,0,0,3.6090225563909772,0,86.16541353383458]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.89percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,5.719643694327239,7.4308485700890765,0,0,0,0,0,86.84950773558369],[11.881188118811881,0,22.725129655822727,0,0,0,0,0,65.3936822253654],[0,0,0,10.225563909774436,0,0,3.6090225563909772,0,86.16541353383458]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AREQUIPA / CAMANA / NICOLAS DE PIEROLA — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-915bdd94f90cda. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.