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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

JUNIN / TARMA — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · JUNIN / TARMA / JUNIN · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-8d7e5456ab7533

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
JUNIN / TARMA / JUNIN
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-00d828afc0ff0eef4d404dea
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNIN30.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNIN21.8%
  • JUNIN RENACE21.1%
  • RENOVACION POPULAR13.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU6.7%
  • JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTE3.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL BLOQUE POPULAR JUNIN2.8%
Results for event-9c7cd002702bfa1cb0e4399f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNINperu/S3bc179da18/202214,32630.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNINperu/S3bc179da18/202210,39121.8%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN RENACEperu/S3bc179da18/202210,05921.1%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20226,52013.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20223,1886.7%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTEperu/S3bc179da18/20221,8523.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL BLOQUE POPULAR JUNINperu/S3bc179da18/20221,3112.8%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNIN26.8%
  • CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNIN18.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBRE13.0%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL11.0%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO10.1%
  • FUERZA POPULAR6.6%
  • PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIO4.8%
  • ACCION POPULAR2.7%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP2.7%
  • JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTE1.7%
  • PERU NACION0.9%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA0.8%
  • UNION POR EL PERU0.5%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU0.5%
  • VAMOS PERU0.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.0%
Results for event-6cd53d4e2b859ab603d98524
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNINperu/Sbbedb7d378/201812,21526.8%UnknownRecorded
CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNINperu/Sbbedb7d378/20188,18818%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBREperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,91513%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,00011%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184,59410.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,0016.6%UnknownRecorded
PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,1664.8%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,2402.7%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,2152.7%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTEperu/Sbbedb7d378/20187611.7%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184170.9%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183660.8%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182490.5%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182260.5%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTE37.5%
  • FUERZA POPULAR28.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBRE10.4%
  • JUNTOS POR JUNIN6.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL BLOQUE POPULAR JUNIN4.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE CON EL PERU4.2%
  • JUNIN EMPRENDEDORES RUMBO AL 213.4%
  • TARMA CORAZON3.3%
  • ACCION POPULAR1.2%
Results for event-de8a8b165da94bb3f732ab62
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTEperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201418,34937.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201414,04228.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBREperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145,10610.4%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR JUNINperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,1336.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL BLOQUE POPULAR JUNINperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,3624.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE CON EL PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,0574.2%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN EMPRENDEDORES RUMBO AL 21peru/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,6833.4%UnknownRecorded
TARMA CORAZONperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,6123.3%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145741.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

57.560–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.25865217117552, oldest_gap=8.80453002984586, previous_gap=8.840252014137377

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,6.690872457867232,0,0,0,0,0,0,93.30912754213276],[10.084955985335762,0,2.722103922902992,6.587930542445064,0,0,0.5466160296797138,2.667222795425109,77.39117072421135],[0,0,1.1733922073674312,28.705180097305696,0,0,0,0,70.12142769532687]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.12percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,6.690872457867232,0,0,0,0,0,0,93.30912754213276],[10.084955985335762,0,2.722103922902992,6.587930542445064,0,0,0.5466160296797138,2.667222795425109,77.39117072421135],[0,0,1.1733922073674312,28.705180097305696,0,0,0,0,70.12142769532687]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.36percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,6.690872457867232,0,0,0,0,0,0,93.30912754213276],[10.084955985335762,0,2.722103922902992,6.587930542445064,0,0,0.5466160296797138,2.667222795425109,77.39117072421135],[0,0,1.1733922073674312,28.705180097305696,0,0,0,0,70.12142769532687]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “JUNIN / TARMA — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-8d7e5456ab7533. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.