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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LORETO / MARISCAL RAMON CASTILLA — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · LORETO / MARISCAL RAMON CASTILLA / LORETO · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-8cc29879027112

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LORETO / MARISCAL RAMON CASTILLA / LORETO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-caf74bbb555116f916127423
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICA25.7%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE20.4%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO19.4%
  • ACCION POPULAR18.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU9.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE LORETO - MI LORETO4.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REIVINDIQUEMOS LORETO2.1%
Results for event-396b83e207ac5b5d6b1fc7d5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICAperu/S3bc179da18/20225,47725.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/S3bc179da18/20224,35120.4%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/20224,13419.4%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20223,98518.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20222,0039.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE LORETO - MI LORETOperu/S3bc179da18/20229334.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REIVINDIQUEMOS LORETOperu/S3bc179da18/20224452.1%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP30.5%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL20.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICA18.8%
  • ACCION POPULAR11.2%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO11.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION LORETANA6.1%
  • FUERZA POPULAR1.1%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.6%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC0.6%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU0.0%
  • UNION POR EL PERU0.0%
  • VAMOS PERU0.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REIVINDIQUEMOS LORETO0.0%
Results for event-8800785c539e8a8174e138f4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/Sbbedb7d378/20187,33430.5%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184,85920.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184,52318.8%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,68611.2%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,66611.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION LORETANAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,4656.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182571.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181540.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181390.6%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REIVINDIQUEMOS LORETOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FUERZA LORETANA34.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE LORETO - MI LORETO20.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONALISTA AMAZONICO LORETO18.9%
  • ACCION POPULAR14.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION LORETANA5.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICA5.3%
Results for event-dc5c1115736d9eda316f393b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUERZA LORETANAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20147,14134.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE LORETO - MI LORETOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144,11520.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONALISTA AMAZONICO LORETOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,86918.9%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,05314.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION LORETANAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,2105.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,0835.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

61.360–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.279444861215303, oldest_gap=14.781886571247131, previous_gap=10.276958850641531

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[19.38297074268567,9.391410352588148,18.684358589647413,0,0,0,0,0,52.54126031507877],[11.070049412448615,0,11.153095544575011,1.0671427978241914,0.6394552173732508,0.5771706182784537,0,30.45301665074949,45.04006975875098],[0,0,14.913780469933076,0,0,0,0,0,85.08621953006694]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[19.38297074268567,9.391410352588148,18.684358589647413,0,0,0,0,0,52.54126031507877],[11.070049412448615,0,11.153095544575011,1.0671427978241914,0.6394552173732508,0.5771706182784537,0,30.45301665074949,45.04006975875098],[0,0,14.913780469933076,0,0,0,0,0,85.08621953006694]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.27percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[19.38297074268567,9.391410352588148,18.684358589647413,0,0,0,0,0,52.54126031507877],[11.070049412448615,0,11.153095544575011,1.0671427978241914,0.6394552173732508,0.5771706182784537,0,30.45301665074949,45.04006975875098],[0,0,14.913780469933076,0,0,0,0,0,85.08621953006694]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LORETO / MARISCAL RAMON CASTILLA — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-8cc29879027112. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.