Office briefing
AREQUIPA / ISLAY / DEAN VALDIVIA — District municipal ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Peru · AREQUIPA / ISLAY / DEAN VALDIVIA / AREQUIPA · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-85ef41b31098c1
Read the complete original research briefing
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- AREQUIPA / ISLAY / DEAN VALDIVIA / AREQUIPA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-a4ccd3d0578e8e2903c92d29
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2022-10-02
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- JUNTOS POR EL PERU23.8%
- PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE23.7%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS23.6%
- YO AREQUIPA17.7%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO5.3%
- AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO3.2%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORA2.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNTOS POR EL PERU | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 1,007 | 23.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 1,001 | 23.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 998 | 23.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| YO AREQUIPA | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 748 | 17.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 225 | 5.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 137 | 3.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORA | peru/Sc91a28be23/2022 | 115 | 2.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
2018-10-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- JUNTOS POR EL SUR27.7%
- EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD24.9%
- PERU LIBERTARIO21.0%
- ACCION POPULAR12.2%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIA9.0%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU3.6%
- PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO1.6%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO0.0%
- AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO0.0%
- AREQUIPA RENACE0.0%
- AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION0.0%
- FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA0.0%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUNTOS POR EL SUR | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 1,073 | 27.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 965 | 24.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PERU LIBERTARIO | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 813 | 21% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION POPULAR | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 472 | 12.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIA | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 347 | 9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 141 | 3.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 62 | 1.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA RENACE | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS | peru/S3a6d07677a/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
2014-10-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO28.7%
- FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA20.7%
- INTEGRACION ISLAY17.9%
- AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO9.4%
- VAMOS AREQUIPA8.9%
- ACCION POPULAR8.7%
- DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA5.1%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AREQUIPA0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 1,064 | 28.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 770 | 20.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| INTEGRACION ISLAY | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 666 | 17.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 350 | 9.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| VAMOS AREQUIPA | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 329 | 8.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION POPULAR | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 324 | 8.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 191 | 5.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AREQUIPA | peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014 | 19 | 0.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI91.430–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.14181044670290888, oldest_gap=7.918125504982495, previous_gap=2.788536018590243
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility17.43percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[5.317891751359017,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.68210824864099],[0,3.640588690937258,12.186935192357346,0,1.6008262328943972,0,0,0,82.57164988381099],[0,0,8.72609749528683,0,0,0,0,0,91.27390250471316]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility8.7percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[5.317891751359017,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.68210824864099],[0,3.640588690937258,12.186935192357346,0,1.6008262328943972,0,0,0,82.57164988381099],[0,0,8.72609749528683,0,0,0,0,0,91.27390250471316]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility13.07percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[5.317891751359017,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,94.68210824864099],[0,3.640588690937258,12.186935192357346,0,1.6008262328943972,0,0,0,82.57164988381099],[0,0,8.72609749528683,0,0,0,0,0,91.27390250471316]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}
other · open
2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.
other · open
Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.
other · open
Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}
other · open
Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.
other · open
Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.
Sources
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-distritales-2022-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-distritales-2018-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-distritales-2014-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Distritales 2022 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Distritales 2018 - [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Distritales 2014 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “AREQUIPA / ISLAY / DEAN VALDIVIA — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-85ef41b31098c1. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.