Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LIMA / LIMA — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · LIMA / LIMA / LIMA · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-6dac1ede1abb9a

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LIMA / LIMA / LIMA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-29cd0284c99ba6ea3d96633e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • RENOVACION POPULAR26.3%
  • PODEMOS PERU25.3%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU18.9%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 202110.9%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO7.1%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU6.4%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL3.5%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE1.5%
Results for event-636f001632bf48d0c82f54bd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RENOVACION POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20221,402,62726.3%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20221,349,72525.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20221,007,97918.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/S3bc179da18/2022581,26910.9%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/2022378,6427.1%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3bc179da18/2022339,5706.4%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3bc179da18/2022186,5293.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/S3bc179da18/202278,3641.5%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ACCION POPULAR36.0%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU19.7%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA8.9%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC4.5%
  • PERU LIBERTARIO3.9%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU3.6%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO3.5%
  • FUERZA POPULAR2.7%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL2.6%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP2.1%
  • UNION POR EL PERU2.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA2.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL2.0%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS1.9%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD1.5%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU0.8%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL0.7%
  • VAMOS PERU0.7%
  • PERU NACION0.6%
  • PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIO0.3%
  • TODOS POR EL PERU0.0%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.0%
  • LUCHO POR MI BARRIO0.0%
  • VIVA LA MOLINA0.0%
  • VOCES DE LINCE0.0%
  • PUCUSANA UNA SOLA FUERZA0.0%
  • PUNTA NEGRA ES UNIDAD0.0%
  • SAN MIGUEL ME GUSTA0.0%
  • LUCHO POR SURQUILLO0.0%
Results for event-6de52da41e2c4b05f96aef33
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,907,69336%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,042,48119.7%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018469,5338.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018236,3204.5%UnknownRecorded
PERU LIBERTARIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018205,7163.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018190,1943.6%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018186,3483.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018142,9132.7%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018136,6572.6%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018113,0012.1%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018107,9722%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018106,1972%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/2018104,7072%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sbbedb7d378/201898,3221.9%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/Sbbedb7d378/201881,3731.5%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/201839,8880.8%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sbbedb7d378/201839,5640.7%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/201835,2510.7%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/Sbbedb7d378/201832,1440.6%UnknownRecorded
PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/201817,9190.3%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
LUCHO POR MI BARRIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
VIVA LA MOLINAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
VOCES DE LINCEperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PUCUSANA UNA SOLA FUERZAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PUNTA NEGRA ES UNIDADperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
SAN MIGUEL ME GUSTAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
LUCHO POR SURQUILLOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL50.8%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO17.6%
  • DIALOGO VECINAL10.6%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA5.9%
  • FUERZA POPULAR2.7%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC2.5%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS2.1%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU2.0%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO1.8%
  • VAMOS PERU1.5%
  • ACCION POPULAR1.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.9%
  • PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO0.6%
Results for event-f61b3fef0469be80e2481850
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,583,74550.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/2014897,56217.6%UnknownRecorded
DIALOGO VECINALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/2014538,13910.6%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/2014302,4365.9%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/2014135,3642.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/S0ef30ae2f8/2014124,9742.5%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/S0ef30ae2f8/2014105,9592.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/2014102,5862%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201492,2571.8%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201478,5821.5%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201453,2561%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201444,2200.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201429,9770.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

55.940–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.9935198287980285, oldest_gap=33.13350587348501, previous_gap=16.34266072279571

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[7.111041832364422,18.930231815659273,0,0,0,0,0,0,73.9587263519763],[3.5198565673748576,3.5925022000520195,36.03368823161528,2.6994293558999454,0,4.463758688056895,2.039442083052129,2.1344329532376323,45.51688992071124],[1.8128505929487526,2.0158155037367433,1.0464807134209737,2.6599033966410675,17.637098582311026,2.455739835494081,0,0,72.37211137544736]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.49percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[7.111041832364422,18.930231815659273,0,0,0,0,0,0,73.9587263519763],[3.5198565673748576,3.5925022000520195,36.03368823161528,2.6994293558999454,0,4.463758688056895,2.039442083052129,2.1344329532376323,45.51688992071124],[1.8128505929487526,2.0158155037367433,1.0464807134209737,2.6599033966410675,17.637098582311026,2.455739835494081,0,0,72.37211137544736]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[7.111041832364422,18.930231815659273,0,0,0,0,0,0,73.9587263519763],[3.5198565673748576,3.5925022000520195,36.03368823161528,2.6994293558999454,0,4.463758688056895,2.039442083052129,2.1344329532376323,45.51688992071124],[1.8128505929487526,2.0158155037367433,1.0464807134209737,2.6599033966410675,17.637098582311026,2.455739835494081,0,0,72.37211137544736]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

  • Ipsos

    vote intention · fieldwork 2026-08-05–2026-08-06

    Poll snapshot; no calibrated win probability or automatic incumbent-defeat flag

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LIMA / LIMA — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-6dac1ede1abb9a. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8, peru--url-e1d1347d4a17cbd538daa1dd.