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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MOQUEGUA / MARISCAL NIETO — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · MOQUEGUA / MARISCAL NIETO / MOQUEGUA · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-65e5b7e38c6274

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MOQUEGUA / MARISCAL NIETO / MOQUEGUA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-e2b69faa24620b00eef8a071
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO49.3%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU40.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL SUMATE AL CAMBIO3.9%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20213.8%
  • NUESTRO ILO - MOQUEGUA - SANCHEZ CERRO1.6%
  • PARTIDO MORADO1.4%
Results for event-29f8368649c64d6b6aa9f9f1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/202225,07649.3%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3bc179da18/202220,37840%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL SUMATE AL CAMBIOperu/S3bc179da18/20222,0053.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/S3bc179da18/20221,9353.8%UnknownRecorded
NUESTRO ILO - MOQUEGUA - SANCHEZ CERROperu/S3bc179da18/20227931.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO MORADOperu/S3bc179da18/20227161.4%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNION POR EL PERU21.8%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU16.7%
  • ACCION POPULAR12.6%
  • PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIO11.2%
  • SOMOS CAMBIO9.3%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU8.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS VAMOS ADELANTE - MI UVA6.3%
  • PERU NACION3.9%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC2.9%
  • VAMOS PERU2.5%
  • FUERZA POPULAR1.7%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL1.5%
  • PERU LIBERTARIO1.0%
  • FRENTE DE INTEGRACION REGIONAL MOQUEGUA EMPRENDEDORA FIRME0.0%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO0.0%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.0%
Results for event-bf28f0f9cf4f2247aa1db9bb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/201810,14221.8%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20187,74416.7%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,85312.6%UnknownRecorded
PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,22811.2%UnknownRecorded
SOMOS CAMBIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184,3219.3%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,9668.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS VAMOS ADELANTE - MI UVAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,9446.3%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,8073.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,3482.9%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,1812.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20188081.7%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20187041.5%UnknownRecorded
PERU LIBERTARIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184461%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE INTEGRACION REGIONAL MOQUEGUA EMPRENDEDORA FIRMEperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO LIDER - LISTA DE INTEGRACION PARA EL DESARROLLO REGIONAL38.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS VAMOS ADELANTE - MI UVA35.2%
  • FRENTE DE INTEGRACION REGIONAL MOQUEGUA EMPRENDEDORA FIRME9.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL CONTIGO MOQUEGUA5.4%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO4.2%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD3.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE ES LA HORA1.3%
  • VAMOS PERU1.3%
  • INTEGRACION REGIONAL POR TI0.9%
  • ACCION POPULAR0.5%
Results for event-2a34817304c88fc229d2fe28
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO LIDER - LISTA DE INTEGRACION PARA EL DESARROLLO REGIONALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201418,56438.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS VAMOS ADELANTE - MI UVAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201416,79535.2%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE INTEGRACION REGIONAL MOQUEGUA EMPRENDEDORA FIRMEperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144,4019.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL CONTIGO MOQUEGUAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,5705.4%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,0044.2%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,4763.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE ES LA HORAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20146331.3%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20146161.3%UnknownRecorded
INTEGRACION REGIONAL POR TIperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144220.9%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142240.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

62.720–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.22931850775003, oldest_gap=3.7082066869300903, previous_gap=5.1578766239353016

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.26percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[49.26232245643675,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.73767754356325],[0,0,12.589262668846253,1.737933407898133,0,2.8994235567409445,21.814505721414438,0,60.95887464510024],[4.200817524368515,0,0.46955245781364635,0,0,0,0,0,95.32963001781783]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.57percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[49.26232245643675,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.73767754356325],[0,0,12.589262668846253,1.737933407898133,0,2.8994235567409445,21.814505721414438,0,60.95887464510024],[4.200817524368515,0,0.46955245781364635,0,0,0,0,0,95.32963001781783]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[49.26232245643675,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.73767754356325],[0,0,12.589262668846253,1.737933407898133,0,2.8994235567409445,21.814505721414438,0,60.95887464510024],[4.200817524368515,0,0.46955245781364635,0,0,0,0,0,95.32963001781783]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “MOQUEGUA / MARISCAL NIETO — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-65e5b7e38c6274. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.