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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LORETO / UCAYALI — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · LORETO / UCAYALI / LORETO · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-595eb365177da6

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LORETO / UCAYALI / LORETO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-92a9d9d369f44c0b643bee0f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICA26.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE POLITICO VOLUNTAD GENERAL AMAZONICA - VOGA17.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU14.2%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO12.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REIVINDIQUEMOS LORETO9.5%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE7.9%
  • JUNTOS POR LORETO5.3%
  • FUERZA LORETANA4.6%
  • LORETO PARA TODOS2.2%
Results for event-4d4c7fc1ef1c031e015598ac
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICAperu/S3bc179da18/20226,93726.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE POLITICO VOLUNTAD GENERAL AMAZONICA - VOGAperu/S3bc179da18/20224,68317.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20223,77614.2%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/20223,31112.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REIVINDIQUEMOS LORETOperu/S3bc179da18/20222,5319.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/S3bc179da18/20222,0907.9%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR LORETOperu/S3bc179da18/20221,4005.3%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA LORETANAperu/S3bc179da18/20221,2104.6%UnknownRecorded
LORETO PARA TODOSperu/S3bc179da18/20225932.2%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL22.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICA21.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION LORETANA18.2%
  • TODOS POR EL CAMBIO EN LA PROVINCIA DE UCAYALI13.9%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU12.3%
  • PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIO8.8%
  • FUERZA POPULAR1.8%
  • ACCION POPULAR0.7%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.7%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO0.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REIVINDIQUEMOS LORETO0.0%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP0.0%
  • TODOS POR EL PERU0.0%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC0.0%
Results for event-a4046b831dea42936c683e18
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,71222.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,40721.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION LORETANAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184,65518.2%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL CAMBIO EN LA PROVINCIA DE UCAYALIperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,54613.9%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,13112.3%UnknownRecorded
PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,2408.8%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184681.8%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181890.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181660.7%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REIVINDIQUEMOS LORETOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FUERZA LORETANA30.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE LORETO - MI LORETO25.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICA22.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION LORETANA18.3%
  • ACCION POPULAR2.3%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO0.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL UNIPOL0.1%
Results for event-af527b3873d7883f08f5c324
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUERZA LORETANAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20147,61530.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE LORETO - MI LORETOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20146,29325.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ESPERANZA REGION AMAZONICAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145,63922.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION LORETANAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144,51718.3%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145652.3%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/2014540.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL UNIPOLperu/S0ef30ae2f8/2014350.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

70.050–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.495721985601751, oldest_gap=5.34832915284408, previous_gap=1.1954221211883684

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[12.479740680713128,14.232407372507632,0,0,0,0,0,0,73.28785194677924],[0,0,0.7407697734577094,1.8342870580857569,0.6506231872697342,0,0,0,96.7743199811868],[0.21846427704506838,0,2.28578363945303,0,0,0,0,0,97.49575208350191]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

2.48percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[12.479740680713128,14.232407372507632,0,0,0,0,0,0,73.28785194677924],[0,0,0.7407697734577094,1.8342870580857569,0.6506231872697342,0,0,0,96.7743199811868],[0.21846427704506838,0,2.28578363945303,0,0,0,0,0,97.49575208350191]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

14.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[12.479740680713128,14.232407372507632,0,0,0,0,0,0,73.28785194677924],[0,0,0.7407697734577094,1.8342870580857569,0.6506231872697342,0,0,0,96.7743199811868],[0.21846427704506838,0,2.28578363945303,0,0,0,0,0,97.49575208350191]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LORETO / UCAYALI — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-595eb365177da6. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.