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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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AREQUIPA / LA UNION — Provincial municipal ballot

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AREQUIPA / LA UNION — Provincial municipal ballot
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Peru · AREQUIPA

AREQUIPA / LA UNION — Provincial municipal ballot

1,942 main regional/municipal ballots plus 3,086 provisionally tracked populated-centre slates: 3,085 in INEI’s 2026 directory plus one unresolved older-directory entry. Restored 102 unaffected 2022 returns excluded by an overly broad malformed-row rule; five affected units remain quarantined. Pión’s failed 2022–2025 attempts are excluded from completed cycles; Cajamarca Ninabamba’s final 2025 election replaces its failed attempts in the selected series. Official centre calls, seat proclamations and current control remain open. JNE 0590-2025 resolves Ninabamba with final 2025 votes and six elected authorities, and Pión with a final annulment and continuation of its 2018 authorities. Finally annulled attempts are not counted as unresolved decisions or valid mandates. The 2026 directory adds 78 office records, a documented Manitea Alta code/district bridge, three name corrections and 3,085 dated mayor records as of 13 March 2026. It is not the 3,382-roll election register; 26 cohort matches remain separately corroborated.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles0 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 46.8/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-03. Sample 982; reported margin of error ±3.00 percentage points. Earlier comparison wave; named officeholder and question wording retained. Outgoing-president evaluation, not the new administration baseline. Poll report

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-03. Sample 1,769; reported margin of error ±2.00 percentage points. The July question evaluates outgoing José Balcázar and August evaluates Keiko Fujimori. No within-president change is computed. The new administration has a small positive approval balance and 16.9% unsure; this does not establish movement in regional or municipal voting intentions. Poll report

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2022-10-02 · ordinary

Coverage: Official vote returns; certified seats and event validity require JNE reconciliation

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid candidate/list votes

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS2,04135.80%—
AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO1,45325.49%—
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA1,16820.49%—
YO AREQUIPA64211.26%—
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20211853.25%—
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL1813.17%—
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORA310.54%—

Result source

2018-10-07 · ordinary

Coverage: Official vote returns; certified seats and event validity require JNE reconciliation

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid candidate/list votes

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA1,78330.32%—
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO1,12919.20%—
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS88715.09%—
AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION82414.01%—
ACCION POPULAR68411.63%—
AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO2183.71%—
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU1973.35%—
AREQUIPA RENACE1582.69%—
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC00.00%—
VAMOS PERU00.00%—
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA00.00%—
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIA00.00%—

Result source

2014-10-05 · ordinary

Coverage: Official vote returns; certified seats and event validity require JNE reconciliation

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid candidate/list votes

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
AREQUIPA RENACE1,61127.60%—
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS95616.38%—
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA88715.20%—
SIEMPRE UNIDOS5589.56%—
AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO4898.38%—
VAMOS PERU4788.19%—
VAMOS AREQUIPA4397.52%—
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AREQUIPA2013.44%—
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA1382.36%—
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD801.37%—

Result source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PE-592a8f7026d912.