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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

JUNIN / TARMA / LA UNION — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · JUNIN / TARMA / LA UNION / JUNIN · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-5393f8ad63406f

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
JUNIN / TARMA / LA UNION / JUNIN
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-257bf7c2d4f72a6065af0b5b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNIN RENACE29.1%
  • CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNIN27.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU19.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNIN13.4%
  • JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTE7.4%
  • RENOVACION POPULAR2.9%
Results for event-be48cfca6715fb62be3a159c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNIN RENACEperu/Sc91a28be23/202252829.1%UnknownRecorded
CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNINperu/Sc91a28be23/202250227.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/202235419.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNINperu/Sc91a28be23/202224313.4%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTEperu/Sc91a28be23/20221347.4%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/2022522.9%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNIN34.0%
  • CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNIN32.6%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO11.6%
  • FUERZA POPULAR9.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBRE6.9%
  • JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTE3.4%
  • VAMOS PERU1.2%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.9%
  • PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIO0.3%
  • ACCION POPULAR0.0%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL0.0%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP0.0%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU0.0%
  • PERU NACION0.0%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA0.0%
  • UNION POR EL PERU0.0%
Results for event-4da1b8d8dd6e7f9c96d83874
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL SIERRA Y SELVA CONTIGO JUNINperu/S3a6d07677a/201861534%UnknownRecorded
CAMINEMOS JUNTOS POR JUNINperu/S3a6d07677a/201859032.6%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/201821011.6%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20181659.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBREperu/S3a6d07677a/20181256.9%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTEperu/S3a6d07677a/2018613.4%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/2018221.2%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S3a6d07677a/2018160.9%UnknownRecorded
PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIOperu/S3a6d07677a/201860.3%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBRE34.9%
  • FUERZA POPULAR21.1%
  • JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTE19.0%
  • JUNTOS POR JUNIN7.5%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD5.4%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO3.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE CON EL PERU3.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL BLOQUE POPULAR JUNIN2.7%
  • JUNIN EMPRENDEDORES RUMBO AL 212.1%
  • TARMA CORAZON0.5%
Results for event-970a08b48b01ef161b51ffea
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO REGIONAL PERU LIBREperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201461934.9%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201437421.1%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN SOSTENIBLE CON SU GENTEperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201433719%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR JUNINperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141337.5%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014955.4%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014643.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE CON EL PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014563.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL BLOQUE POPULAR JUNINperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014482.7%UnknownRecorded
JUNIN EMPRENDEDORES RUMBO AL 21peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014372.1%UnknownRecorded
TARMA CORAZONperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201490.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

86.710–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.434087148372864, oldest_gap=13.826185101580133, previous_gap=1.3812154696132595

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

20.72percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,19.52564809707667,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.47435190292333],[11.602209944751381,0,0,9.116022099447514,0,0,0,0,79.2817679558011],[3.6117381489841986,0,0,21.10609480812641,0,0,0,0,75.28216704288938]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,19.52564809707667,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.47435190292333],[11.602209944751381,0,0,9.116022099447514,0,0,0,0,79.2817679558011],[3.6117381489841986,0,0,21.10609480812641,0,0,0,0,75.28216704288938]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,19.52564809707667,0,0,0,0,0,0,80.47435190292333],[11.602209944751381,0,0,9.116022099447514,0,0,0,0,79.2817679558011],[3.6117381489841986,0,0,21.10609480812641,0,0,0,0,75.28216704288938]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “JUNIN / TARMA / LA UNION — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-5393f8ad63406f. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.