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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PUNO / CARABAYA — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · PUNO / CARABAYA / PUNO · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-51acfba0d15dea

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PUNO / CARABAYA / PUNO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-70c1d3aac32527de85f8277f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MORAL Y DESARROLLO34.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION Y REVOLUCION ANDINA27.5%
  • REFORMA Y HONRADEZ POR MAS OBRAS23.5%
  • SOMOS PUEBLO6.0%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE4.8%
  • FRENTE AMPLIO PARA EL DESARROLLO DEL PUEBLO4.1%
Results for event-5e10cd90c33ed2d5c8522080
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORAL Y DESARROLLOperu/S3bc179da18/202211,09334.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION Y REVOLUCION ANDINAperu/S3bc179da18/20228,93227.5%UnknownRecorded
REFORMA Y HONRADEZ POR MAS OBRASperu/S3bc179da18/20227,61623.5%UnknownRecorded
SOMOS PUEBLOperu/S3bc179da18/20221,9426%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/S3bc179da18/20221,5574.8%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE AMPLIO PARA EL DESARROLLO DEL PUEBLOperu/S3bc179da18/20221,3324.1%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • GESTIONANDO OBRAS Y OPORTUNIDADES CON LIDERAZGO37.2%
  • FRENTE AMPLIO PARA EL DESARROLLO DEL PUEBLO26.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION POR EL DESARROLLO REGIONAL (MI CASITA)8.9%
  • PODER ANDINO7.7%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO6.7%
  • MORAL Y DESARROLLO6.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA3.5%
  • ACCION POPULAR3.4%
  • PODER DEMOCRATICO REGIONAL0.0%
Results for event-25e6c15022921cac214266f0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
GESTIONANDO OBRAS Y OPORTUNIDADES CON LIDERAZGOperu/Sbbedb7d378/201810,75537.2%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE AMPLIO PARA EL DESARROLLO DEL PUEBLOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20187,71226.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION POR EL DESARROLLO REGIONAL (MI CASITA)peru/Sbbedb7d378/20182,5708.9%UnknownRecorded
PODER ANDINOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,2157.7%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,9306.7%UnknownRecorded
MORAL Y DESARROLLOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,7236%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,0033.5%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20189923.4%UnknownRecorded
PODER DEMOCRATICO REGIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PROYECTO DE LA INTEGRACION PARA LA COOPERACION30.4%
  • PROYECTO POLITICO AQUI17.5%
  • PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO11.9%
  • MORAL Y DESARROLLO9.1%
  • FUERZA POPULAR8.6%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO7.8%
  • POR LAS COMUNIDADES FUENTE DE INTEGRACION ANDINA DE PUNO - CONFIA - PUNO5.9%
  • PODER ANDINO5.3%
  • FRENTE AMPLIO DE PUNO1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMO Y LIBERTAD1.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL0.6%
Results for event-10d2c8beb6436c249f8caa0d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PROYECTO DE LA INTEGRACION PARA LA COOPERACIONperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20148,00530.4%UnknownRecorded
PROYECTO POLITICO AQUIperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144,60917.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,12811.9%UnknownRecorded
MORAL Y DESARROLLOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,3859.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,2558.6%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,0537.8%UnknownRecorded
POR LAS COMUNIDADES FUENTE DE INTEGRACION ANDINA DE PUNO - CONFIA - PUNOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,5595.9%UnknownRecorded
PODER ANDINOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,3865.3%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE AMPLIO DE PUNOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145131.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AL SOCIALISMO Y LIBERTADperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142761%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141550.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

57.790–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.654964276915496, oldest_gap=12.900774958213038, previous_gap=10.52941176470588

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[6.678200692041522,0,3.4325259515570936,0,0,0,0,0,89.88927335640138],[7.798966722382617,0,0,8.566327305880565,0,0,0,0,83.63470597173682]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[6.678200692041522,0,3.4325259515570936,0,0,0,0,0,89.88927335640138],[7.798966722382617,0,0,8.566327305880565,0,0,0,0,83.63470597173682]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[6.678200692041522,0,3.4325259515570936,0,0,0,0,0,89.88927335640138],[7.798966722382617,0,0,8.566327305880565,0,0,0,0,83.63470597173682]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “PUNO / CARABAYA — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-51acfba0d15dea. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.