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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CUSCO / CHUMBIVILCAS — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · CUSCO / CHUMBIVILCAS / CUSCO · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-47b5b94a19126d

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CUSCO / CHUMBIVILCAS / CUSCO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-15c5e3d228ebb85a7166c9f8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU25.7%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE22.8%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO19.1%
  • PODEMOS PERU15.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQ12.8%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20212.2%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU1.9%
Results for event-9f824f44421bed8cacd6e5a6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20229,86525.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/S3bc179da18/20228,74822.8%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/20227,32419.1%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20225,93415.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQperu/S3bc179da18/20224,88712.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/S3bc179da18/20228452.2%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20227131.9%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD35.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL TAWANTINSUYO28.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQ9.3%
  • AUTOGOBIERNO AYLLU7.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL5.0%
  • PERU LIBERTARIO4.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU4.4%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA3.7%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ETNOCACERISTA REGIONAL DEL CUSCO0.7%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO0.0%
  • UNION POR EL PERU0.0%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC0.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ACUERDO POPULAR UNIFICADO0.0%
Results for event-b3dcf168c3b9cc9e39f53d59
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/Sbbedb7d378/201811,80235.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL TAWANTINSUYOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20189,36828.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,0779.3%UnknownRecorded
AUTOGOBIERNO AYLLUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,3257%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,6475%UnknownRecorded
PERU LIBERTARIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,4624.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,4454.4%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,2323.7%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/Sbbedb7d378/20186151.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ETNOCACERISTA REGIONAL DEL CUSCOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182280.7%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ACUERDO POPULAR UNIFICADOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNION POR EL PERU23.9%
  • TIERRA Y LIBERTAD CUSCO20.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL TAWANTINSUYO17.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQ13.3%
  • AUTOGOBIERNO AYLLU10.0%
  • FUERZA INKA AMAZONICA7.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ACUERDO POPULAR UNIFICADO2.6%
  • KAUSACHUN CUSCO2.3%
  • PATRIA ARRIBA PERU ADELANTE1.1%
  • ALIANZA POPULAR0.8%
Results for event-62bcb9243c2ca3f4fd3e6f4e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20148,03723.9%UnknownRecorded
TIERRA Y LIBERTAD CUSCOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20146,85520.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL TAWANTINSUYOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20146,00817.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144,48513.3%UnknownRecorded
AUTOGOBIERNO AYLLUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,37410%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA INKA AMAZONICAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,5997.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ACUERDO POPULAR UNIFICADOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20148912.6%UnknownRecorded
KAUSACHUN CUSCOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20147752.3%UnknownRecorded
PATRIA ARRIBA PERU ADELANTEperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143601.1%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142860.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

78.50–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.9152312349932146, oldest_gap=3.51054351054351, previous_gap=7.331104484804673

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.51percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[19.114730138845392,25.74642447019522,0,0,0,0,0,0,55.138845390959396],[0,4.352278545826933,0,0,0,0,0,1.852353844763712,93.79536760940937],[0,0,0,0,0,0,23.86991386991387,0,76.13008613008613]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.87percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[19.114730138845392,25.74642447019522,0,0,0,0,0,0,55.138845390959396],[0,4.352278545826933,0,0,0,0,0,1.852353844763712,93.79536760940937],[0,0,0,0,0,0,23.86991386991387,0,76.13008613008613]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.19percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[19.114730138845392,25.74642447019522,0,0,0,0,0,0,55.138845390959396],[0,4.352278545826933,0,0,0,0,0,1.852353844763712,93.79536760940937],[0,0,0,0,0,0,23.86991386991387,0,76.13008613008613]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CUSCO / CHUMBIVILCAS — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-47b5b94a19126d. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.