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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CAJAMARCA / CAJAMARCA — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · CAJAMARCA / CAJAMARCA / CAJAMARCA · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-40ec6068ba2e7b

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CAJAMARCA / CAJAMARCA / CAJAMARCA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-08d1c8318f8c45382c10fef3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE30.6%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL28.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU14.0%
  • FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA13.4%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO7.3%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20214.3%
  • RENOVACION POPULAR1.6%
Results for event-0e69757960f7d42c2717aa09
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDEperu/S3bc179da18/202255,74830.6%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3bc179da18/202252,39228.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/202225,56314%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCAperu/S3bc179da18/202224,50913.4%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/202213,2677.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/S3bc179da18/20227,8134.3%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION POPULARperu/S3bc179da18/20222,9741.6%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA23.5%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO16.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU16.1%
  • ACCION POPULAR11.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIAL6.5%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL4.7%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU3.4%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS3.4%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL3.2%
  • UNION POR EL PERU3.0%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO2.8%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD2.3%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP1.5%
  • PERU NACION1.4%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.0%
  • CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE0.0%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU0.0%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA0.0%
  • FUERZA BAÑOSINA0.0%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC0.0%
Results for event-4d72c528bdfa70bbe88530fe
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCAperu/Sbbedb7d378/201839,62723.5%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/201827,75916.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/201827,18116.1%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/201820,02811.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIALperu/Sbbedb7d378/201811,0576.5%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20187,9704.7%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,8193.4%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,6723.4%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,3693.2%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185,0143%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184,7812.8%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,8212.3%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,5061.5%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,3531.4%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDEperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FUERZA BAÑOSINAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FUERZA POPULAR31.2%
  • CAJAMARCA EN ACCION17.3%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD14.2%
  • FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA7.9%
  • ESPERANZA DEL PUEBLO6.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA SOCIAL CAJAMARCA3.6%
  • LUCHEMOS POR CAJAMARCA3.0%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO2.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE DIALOGO SOCIAL2.5%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO2.4%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS2.2%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA1.9%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL1.3%
  • UNION POR EL PERU1.1%
  • PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO0.7%
  • PERU POSIBLE0.5%
  • VAMOS PERU0.5%
  • GOBERNABILIDAD E INCLUSION SOCIAL GIS0.5%
Results for event-1384667e5ce7c686fca0bd8e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUERZA POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201450,47831.2%UnknownRecorded
CAJAMARCA EN ACCIONperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201427,98517.3%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201422,98414.2%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201412,7517.9%UnknownRecorded
ESPERANZA DEL PUEBLOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201410,5936.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA SOCIAL CAJAMARCAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145,7923.6%UnknownRecorded
LUCHEMOS POR CAJAMARCAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144,8163%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144,5582.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE DIALOGO SOCIALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,9692.5%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,8652.4%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,4842.2%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20143,0241.9%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,0501.3%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,7051.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,2120.7%UnknownRecorded
PERU POSIBLEperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20148380.5%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20147840.5%UnknownRecorded
GOBERNABILIDAD E INCLUSION SOCIAL GISperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20147650.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

76.980–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.8412649643926997, oldest_gap=13.9143721427997, previous_gap=7.024272448019321

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[7.278922015076866,14.025106163519252,0,0,0,0,0,0,78.69597182140387],[16.429624105541645,16.08752522831253,11.853903655959801,0,2.829714069260226,0,2.967618979977154,1.4832176234189764,48.348396337529664],[2.390923768813446,0,0,31.226144890599,2.819619802911174,0,1.0547283378594892,0,62.508583199816904]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.39percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[7.278922015076866,14.025106163519252,0,0,0,0,0,0,78.69597182140387],[16.429624105541645,16.08752522831253,11.853903655959801,0,2.829714069260226,0,2.967618979977154,1.4832176234189764,48.348396337529664],[2.390923768813446,0,0,31.226144890599,2.819619802911174,0,1.0547283378594892,0,62.508583199816904]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.87percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[7.278922015076866,14.025106163519252,0,0,0,0,0,0,78.69597182140387],[16.429624105541645,16.08752522831253,11.853903655959801,0,2.829714069260226,0,2.967618979977154,1.4832176234189764,48.348396337529664],[2.390923768813446,0,0,31.226144890599,2.819619802911174,0,1.0547283378594892,0,62.508583199816904]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CAJAMARCA / CAJAMARCA — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-40ec6068ba2e7b. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.