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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

HUANUCO / AMBO / SAN RAFAEL — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · HUANUCO / AMBO / SAN RAFAEL / HUANUCO · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-4053a4129d5a65

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
HUANUCO / AMBO / SAN RAFAEL / HUANUCO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-18a42c65deca4a3c6f051426
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL HUANUCO PRIMERO41.4%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL31.2%
  • AVANZADA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS POR HUANUCO23.2%
  • TODOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO2.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CAMBIEMOS X HCO0.6%
  • FUERZA POPULAR0.2%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20210.1%
Results for event-e253581ad11a7e323c818d33
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL HUANUCO PRIMEROperu/Sc91a28be23/20222,37041.4%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,78531.2%UnknownRecorded
AVANZADA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS POR HUANUCOperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,32823.2%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/Sc91a28be23/20221542.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/2022480.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CAMBIEMOS X HCOperu/Sc91a28be23/2022320.6%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/202290.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/Sc91a28be23/202240.1%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL26.7%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL25.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CAMBIEMOS X HCO18.2%
  • ACCION POPULAR10.2%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO10.1%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU4.7%
  • AVANZADA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS POR HUANUCO2.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU1.7%
  • UNION POR EL PERU0.8%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.3%
Results for event-b7bc7a1cb42ca4229aea7ce8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,33726.7%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,25125%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO CAMBIEMOS X HCOperu/S3a6d07677a/201890918.2%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/201851110.2%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/201850410.1%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20182364.7%UnknownRecorded
AVANZADA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS POR HUANUCOperu/S3a6d07677a/20181182.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/2018861.7%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/2018410.8%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S3a6d07677a/2018140.3%UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO HECHOS Y NO PALABRAS26.6%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU21.9%
  • UNION POR EL PERU20.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION DESCENTRALISTA18.5%
  • ACCION POPULAR7.3%
  • AVANZADA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS POR HUANUCO1.7%
  • FUERZA POPULAR1.1%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO1.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO FRENTE AMPLIO REGIONAL PAISANOCUNA0.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL LUCHEMOS POR HUANUCO0.3%
  • FRENTE DEMOCRATICO REGIONAL0.1%
Results for event-6c77693ebcffe7ddeb3fde5c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO HECHOS Y NO PALABRASperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,27626.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,05221.9%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201499620.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INTEGRACION DESCENTRALISTAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201489018.5%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143527.3%UnknownRecorded
AVANZADA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE UNIDOS POR HUANUCOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014831.7%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014551.1%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014531.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO FRENTE AMPLIO REGIONAL PAISANOCUNAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014210.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL LUCHEMOS POR HUANUCOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014140.3%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DEMOCRATICO REGIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201470.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

64.460–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.209424083769633, oldest_gap=4.66763909147739, previous_gap=1.7175953664869184

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.97percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0.837696335078534,0,0.15706806282722513,0,0,0,0,99.00523560209423],[10.065907729179148,1.7175953664869184,10.205712003195526,0,0,0,0.8188536049530657,0,77.19193129618533],[1.1043967493227755,21.92123359033132,7.334861429464472,1.1460720983538237,0,0,20.75432381746197,0,47.73911231506564]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

41.29percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0.837696335078534,0,0.15706806282722513,0,0,0,0,99.00523560209423],[10.065907729179148,1.7175953664869184,10.205712003195526,0,0,0,0.8188536049530657,0,77.19193129618533],[1.1043967493227755,21.92123359033132,7.334861429464472,1.1460720983538237,0,0,20.75432381746197,0,47.73911231506564]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0.837696335078534,0,0.15706806282722513,0,0,0,0,99.00523560209423],[10.065907729179148,1.7175953664869184,10.205712003195526,0,0,0,0.8188536049530657,0,77.19193129618533],[1.1043967493227755,21.92123359033132,7.334861429464472,1.1460720983538237,0,0,20.75432381746197,0,47.73911231506564]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “HUANUCO / AMBO / SAN RAFAEL — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-4053a4129d5a65. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.