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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ICA / CHINCHA / GROCIO PRADO — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · ICA / CHINCHA / GROCIO PRADO / ICA · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-3ee1dfb666a5aa

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ICA / CHINCHA / GROCIO PRADO / ICA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-3309b458dec572cd72f04283
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNO POR ICA33.6%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO22.5%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU17.7%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 202117.1%
  • RENOVACION POPULAR5.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL OBRAS POR LA MODERNIDAD3.1%
Results for event-77deffa311d5259ccce5f3a7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNO POR ICAperu/Sc91a28be23/20224,55733.6%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sc91a28be23/20223,05322.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20222,40517.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/Sc91a28be23/20222,32617.1%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/20227975.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL OBRAS POR LA MODERNIDADperu/Sc91a28be23/20224273.1%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDOS POR LA REGION42.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL OBRAS POR LA MODERNIDAD26.1%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL24.2%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA3.0%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO1.9%
  • ACCION POPULAR1.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU0.9%
  • PERU NACION0.3%
  • TODOS POR EL PERU0.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.0%
  • FUERZA POPULAR0.0%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU0.0%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU0.0%
  • UNION POR EL PERU0.0%
  • VAMOS PERU0.0%
Results for event-8a3cf1501131e5ca45a9734b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDOS POR LA REGIONperu/S3a6d07677a/20185,44042.3%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL OBRAS POR LA MODERNIDADperu/S3a6d07677a/20183,35726.1%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3a6d07677a/20183,10724.2%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/S3a6d07677a/20183903%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/20182461.9%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20181751.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20181140.9%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/S3a6d07677a/2018340.3%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO REGIONAL DE INTEGRACION26.4%
  • UNIDOS POR LA REGION25.7%
  • ALIANZA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE20.0%
  • FUERZA POPULAR16.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL OBRAS POR LA MODERNIDAD7.1%
  • UNION POR EL PERU1.0%
  • PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO1.0%
  • GROCIO PRADO A LA MODERNIDAD0.7%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO0.6%
  • ACCION POPULAR0.5%
Results for event-8df3e6b375c2748957b1e06a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO REGIONAL DE INTEGRACIONperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143,18326.4%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS POR LA REGIONperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143,10325.7%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTEperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,41420%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,02916.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL OBRAS POR LA MODERNIDADperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20148557.1%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141251%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141251%UnknownRecorded
GROCIO PRADO A LA MODERNIDADperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014900.7%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014710.6%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/2014630.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

42.120–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=11.087357169185402, oldest_gap=0.6634599436059041, previous_gap=16.193733965637875

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.44percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[22.506450423885,17.729450792480648,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.76409878363436],[1.9124621005986162,0.8862629246676514,1.3604913317266578,0,0,0,0,0,95.84078364300707],[0.5888206999502406,0,0.52247470558965,16.82700281970476,0,0,1.0366561618842263,0,81.02504561287112]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[22.506450423885,17.729450792480648,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.76409878363436],[1.9124621005986162,0.8862629246676514,1.3604913317266578,0,0,0,0,0,95.84078364300707],[0.5888206999502406,0,0.52247470558965,16.82700281970476,0,0,1.0366561618842263,0,81.02504561287112]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.65percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[22.506450423885,17.729450792480648,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.76409878363436],[1.9124621005986162,0.8862629246676514,1.3604913317266578,0,0,0,0,0,95.84078364300707],[0.5888206999502406,0,0.52247470558965,16.82700281970476,0,0,1.0366561618842263,0,81.02504561287112]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ICA / CHINCHA / GROCIO PRADO — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-3ee1dfb666a5aa. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.