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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CUSCO / ESPINAR — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · CUSCO / ESPINAR / CUSCO · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-30f0ae44a61813

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CUSCO / ESPINAR / CUSCO
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-11a06df8c49084cca11a2b82
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • AUTOGOBIERNO AYLLU28.0%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU27.7%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 202124.7%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE8.4%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU5.9%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO3.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQ1.7%
Results for event-6dae8101780ac9ff993d7465
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AUTOGOBIERNO AYLLUperu/S3bc179da18/202210,21128%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/202210,10227.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/S3bc179da18/20228,98524.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/S3bc179da18/20223,0738.4%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20222,1465.9%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/20221,2853.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQperu/S3bc179da18/20226211.7%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA37.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU23.1%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL11.7%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD11.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ETNOCACERISTA REGIONAL DEL CUSCO7.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL TAWANTINSUYO2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ACUERDO POPULAR UNIFICADO2.6%
  • AUTOGOBIERNO AYLLU1.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQ1.0%
  • PERU LIBERTARIO0.8%
  • ACCION POPULAR0.0%
Results for event-14287eeaf2d3d16cff037611
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sbbedb7d378/201811,73037.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20187,25523.1%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,68511.7%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183,67611.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ETNOCACERISTA REGIONAL DEL CUSCOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,2997.3%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL TAWANTINSUYOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20188472.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ACUERDO POPULAR UNIFICADOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20188112.6%UnknownRecorded
AUTOGOBIERNO AYLLUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20185321.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183071%UnknownRecorded
PERU LIBERTARIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182530.8%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS33.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQ30.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE CENTENARIO ESPINAR19.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ACUERDO POPULAR UNIFICADO8.8%
  • TIERRA Y LIBERTAD CUSCO3.1%
  • AUTOGOBIERNO AYLLU2.0%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO1.5%
  • ALIANZA POPULAR0.8%
Results for event-6aca7347b09168774a37305b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201410,14033.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INKA PACHAKUTEQperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20149,28230.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE CENTENARIO ESPINARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145,83319.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ACUERDO POPULAR UNIFICADOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,6648.8%UnknownRecorded
TIERRA Y LIBERTAD CUSCOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20149383.1%UnknownRecorded
AUTOGOBIERNO AYLLUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145922%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144441.5%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA POPULARperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142410.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

76.30–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.2992614556736122, oldest_gap=2.847282139775672, previous_gap=14.253862079949037

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.15percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[3.5279905554182798,27.735222249677403,0,0,0,0,0,0,68.73678719490432],[0,23.108775282688327,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.89122471731167],[1.4734187296741224,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.52658127032588]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.11percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[3.5279905554182798,27.735222249677403,0,0,0,0,0,0,68.73678719490432],[0,23.108775282688327,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.89122471731167],[1.4734187296741224,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.52658127032588]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[3.5279905554182798,27.735222249677403,0,0,0,0,0,0,68.73678719490432],[0,23.108775282688327,0,0,0,0,0,0,76.89122471731167],[1.4734187296741224,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.52658127032588]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CUSCO / ESPINAR — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-30f0ae44a61813. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.