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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MADRE DE DIOS / MANU — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · MADRE DE DIOS / MANU / MADRE DE DIOS · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-2f9f988d6f7b86

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MADRE DE DIOS / MANU / MADRE DE DIOS
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-d9d94032a8d916b6416e9f4e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE AMOR POR MADRE DE DIOS28.9%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL25.1%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO13.6%
  • ALIANZA LIBERTAD MADREDIOSENSE10.1%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU9.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA POR MADRE DE DIOS - MR FMDD8.5%
  • PODEMOS PERU4.6%
Results for event-1d27689290b3e66ca0b71bb8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE AMOR POR MADRE DE DIOSperu/S3bc179da18/20222,18328.9%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3bc179da18/20221,89325.1%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/20221,02313.6%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA LIBERTAD MADREDIOSENSEperu/S3bc179da18/202276510.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20226899.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA POR MADRE DE DIOS - MR FMDDperu/S3bc179da18/20226438.5%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20223484.6%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA28.8%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA20.4%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL17.9%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU12.3%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO11.1%
  • ACCION POPULAR6.2%
  • UNION POR EL PERU3.3%
  • FUERZA POPULAR0.0%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS0.0%
  • FUERZA POR MADRE DE DIOS0.0%
  • PERU LIBERTARIO0.0%
Results for event-7ac378622e2e4b8df76d2256
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,67628.8%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,19120.4%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,04117.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/201871712.3%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/201864911.1%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20183626.2%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181913.3%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POR MADRE DE DIOSperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PERU LIBERTARIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA POR MADRE DE DIOS19.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE AMOR POR MADRE DE DIOS17.1%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA16.6%
  • PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO12.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE OBRAS SIEMPRE OBRAS11.9%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO8.3%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC8.2%
  • UNION POR EL PERU6.6%
Results for event-d7da8336c377e36d78ede694
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA POR MADRE DE DIOSperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,16019.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE AMOR POR MADRE DE DIOSperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,04017.1%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,01016.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201473912.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE OBRAS SIEMPRE OBRASperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201472211.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20145058.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144968.2%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20144016.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

74.990–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.844114528101805, oldest_gap=1.9759591635106233, previous_gap=8.32332246438991

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[13.560445387062567,9.133085896076352,0,0,0,0,0,0,77.30646871686109],[11.137806761626909,12.304788055603227,6.212459241462159,0,0,0,3.277844516904067,0,67.06710142440363],[0,0,0,0,8.315494813107195,8.1672978758439,6.602996871397991,0,76.91421043965092]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[13.560445387062567,9.133085896076352,0,0,0,0,0,0,77.30646871686109],[11.137806761626909,12.304788055603227,6.212459241462159,0,0,0,3.277844516904067,0,67.06710142440363],[0,0,0,0,8.315494813107195,8.1672978758439,6.602996871397991,0,76.91421043965092]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[13.560445387062567,9.133085896076352,0,0,0,0,0,0,77.30646871686109],[11.137806761626909,12.304788055603227,6.212459241462159,0,0,0,3.277844516904067,0,67.06710142440363],[0,0,0,0,8.315494813107195,8.1672978758439,6.602996871397991,0,76.91421043965092]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “MADRE DE DIOS / MANU — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-2f9f988d6f7b86. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.