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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / MARIANO MELGAR — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / MARIANO MELGAR / AREQUIPA · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-2ea745f0d5449f

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / MARIANO MELGAR / AREQUIPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-87e62d0b336c9ace83dc9b92
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA26.3%
  • AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO20.0%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA15.2%
  • YO AREQUIPA9.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORA8.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS5.6%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE4.1%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU2.7%
  • PARTIDO MORADO2.4%
  • ACCION POPULAR2.1%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU1.5%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20211.4%
Results for event-4a4f2ccb950418b0b6741141
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/Sc91a28be23/20229,57726.3%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTUROperu/Sc91a28be23/20227,31220%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/Sc91a28be23/20225,55715.2%UnknownRecorded
YO AREQUIPAperu/Sc91a28be23/20223,6189.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORAperu/Sc91a28be23/20223,2068.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/Sc91a28be23/20222,0255.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,4924.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20229772.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO MORADOperu/Sc91a28be23/20228882.4%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/20227532.1%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20225551.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/Sc91a28be23/20225201.4%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS21.5%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA12.5%
  • AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO9.2%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA8.9%
  • VAMOS PERU8.0%
  • AREQUIPA RENACE5.8%
  • TODOS POR EL PERU5.3%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU5.2%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS5.1%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD3.7%
  • AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION3.6%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU2.6%
  • ACCION POPULAR2.0%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO2.0%
  • JUNTOS POR EL SUR1.8%
  • UNION POR EL PERU1.4%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO1.0%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA0.5%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.0%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP0.0%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC0.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL0.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIA0.0%
  • TODOS POR AREQUIPA0.0%
Results for event-df9076fd162731a0ddb7f5c7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/S3a6d07677a/20187,16721.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/S3a6d07677a/20184,17112.5%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/S3a6d07677a/20183,0829.2%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,9638.9%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,6778%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,9415.8%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,7645.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,7225.2%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,7065.1%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,2203.7%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACIONperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,1933.6%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20188842.6%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20186842%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/20186742%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL SURperu/S3a6d07677a/20186001.8%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20184631.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/S3a6d07677a/20183181%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/S3a6d07677a/20181780.5%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR AREQUIPAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ACCION POPULAR31.4%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA17.0%
  • AREQUIPA RENACE14.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS11.2%
  • AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO8.2%
  • VAMOS AREQUIPA6.5%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA5.9%
  • VAMOS PERU2.0%
  • UNION POR EL PERU1.4%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS1.2%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL1.1%
Results for event-95e42b80b21c1dd32ca95e05
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201410,84031.4%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20145,86917%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20144,82614%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143,87911.2%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,8298.2%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS AREQUIPAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,2546.5%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,0255.9%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20146992%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20144731.4%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20144101.2%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143881.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

60.720–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.208881578947366, oldest_gap=14.412037573930185, previous_gap=8.968180321489507

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.83percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,2.6781798245614037,2.0641447368421053,0,0,0,0,0,95.2576754385965],[2.0175412338731404,5.1546083156224745,2.047475080073039,0,0.9518963091567636,0,1.3859370790552878,0,88.4425419822193],[0,0,31.42757740925432,0,0,0,1.3713324828945843,0,67.2010901078511]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,2.6781798245614037,2.0641447368421053,0,0,0,0,0,95.2576754385965],[2.0175412338731404,5.1546083156224745,2.047475080073039,0,0.9518963091567636,0,1.3859370790552878,0,88.4425419822193],[0,0,31.42757740925432,0,0,0,1.3713324828945843,0,67.2010901078511]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.11percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,2.6781798245614037,2.0641447368421053,0,0,0,0,0,95.2576754385965],[2.0175412338731404,5.1546083156224745,2.047475080073039,0,0.9518963091567636,0,1.3859370790552878,0,88.4425419822193],[0,0,31.42757740925432,0,0,0,1.3713324828945843,0,67.2010901078511]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / MARIANO MELGAR — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-2ea745f0d5449f. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.