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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Source publication

AYACUCHO / PAUCAR DEL SARA SARA / OYOLO — District municipal ballot

Original research briefing. Source qualifications and evidence gaps are retained; active scripts and styling have been removed for safe display.

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AYACUCHO / PAUCAR DEL SARA SARA / OYOLO — District municipal ballot
Latin America register

Peru · AYACUCHO

AYACUCHO / PAUCAR DEL SARA SARA / OYOLO — District municipal ballot

1,942 main regional/municipal ballots plus 3,086 provisionally tracked populated-centre slates: 3,085 in INEI’s 2026 directory plus one unresolved older-directory entry. Restored 102 unaffected 2022 returns excluded by an overly broad malformed-row rule; five affected units remain quarantined. Pión’s failed 2022–2025 attempts are excluded from completed cycles; Cajamarca Ninabamba’s final 2025 election replaces its failed attempts in the selected series. Official centre calls, seat proclamations and current control remain open. JNE 0590-2025 resolves Ninabamba with final 2025 votes and six elected authorities, and Pión with a final annulment and continuation of its 2018 authorities. Finally annulled attempts are not counted as unresolved decisions or valid mandates. The 2026 directory adds 78 office records, a documented Manitea Alta code/district bridge, three name corrections and 3,085 dated mayor records as of 13 March 2026. It is not the 3,382-roll election register; 26 cohort matches remain separately corroborated.

Election expectation2026-10-04
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles0 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 45.3/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-03. Sample 982; reported margin of error ±3.00 percentage points. Earlier comparison wave; named officeholder and question wording retained. Outgoing-president evaluation, not the new administration baseline. Poll report

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-03. Sample 1,769; reported margin of error ±2.00 percentage points. The July question evaluates outgoing José Balcázar and August evaluates Keiko Fujimori. No within-president change is computed. The new administration has a small positive approval balance and 16.9% unsure; this does not establish movement in regional or municipal voting intentions. Poll report

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2022-10-02 · ordinary

Coverage: Official vote returns; certified seats and event validity require JNE reconciliation

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid candidate/list votes

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA POR NUESTRO DESARROLLO24648.43%—
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO20840.94%—
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AGUA305.91%—
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL WARI LLAQTA193.74%—
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE50.98%—

Result source

2018-10-07 · ordinary

Coverage: Official vote returns; certified seats and event validity require JNE reconciliation

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid candidate/list votes

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
MUSUQ ÑAN18438.49%—
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL9219.25%—
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO8217.15%—
TECNOLOGIA DE PUNTA PARA AYACUCHO7615.90%—
DESARROLLO INTEGRAL AYACUCHO306.28%—
QATUN TARPUY142.93%—
ACCION POPULAR00.00%—
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO00.00%—
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO00.00%—

Result source

2014-10-05 · ordinary

Coverage: Official vote returns; certified seats and event validity require JNE reconciliation

Basis: Candidate/list votes as share of valid candidate/list votes

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
QATUN TARPUY14934.89%—
UNIDOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AYACUCHO12028.10%—
FUERZA POPULAR5312.41%—
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL429.84%—
ALIANZA RENACE AYACUCHO327.49%—
ACCION POPULAR184.22%—
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO92.11%—
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AYACUCHO40.94%—

Result source

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record PE-1c97e451c0872e.