Office briefing
AYACUCHO / VICTOR FAJARDO — Provincial municipal ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Peru · AYACUCHO / VICTOR FAJARDO / AYACUCHO · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-1c6a39b059d6e7
Read the complete original research briefing
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- AYACUCHO / VICTOR FAJARDO / AYACUCHO
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-6e47b735544f3a1807d869c3
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2022-10-02
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL WARI LLAQTA29.4%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AGUA26.9%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO22.5%
- PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE12.6%
- ALIANZA POR NUESTRO DESARROLLO6.0%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO2.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL WARI LLAQTA | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 3,383 | 29.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AGUA | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 3,087 | 26.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 2,582 | 22.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 1,450 | 12.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POR NUESTRO DESARROLLO | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 686 | 6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 309 | 2.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
2018-10-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- QATUN TARPUY29.9%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO23.6%
- MUSUQ ÑAN21.7%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO10.6%
- DESARROLLO INTEGRAL AYACUCHO8.7%
- TECNOLOGIA DE PUNTA PARA AYACUCHO3.4%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL2.2%
- DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.0%
- PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.0%
- EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QATUN TARPUY | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 3,124 | 29.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 2,474 | 23.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MUSUQ ÑAN | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 2,268 | 21.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,104 | 10.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| DESARROLLO INTEGRAL AYACUCHO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 914 | 8.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TECNOLOGIA DE PUNTA PARA AYACUCHO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 352 | 3.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 225 | 2.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
2014-10-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- ALIANZA RENACE AYACUCHO28.6%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AYACUCHO22.6%
- MUSUQ ÑAN17.9%
- QATUN TARPUY17.0%
- FUERZA POPULAR10.7%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL3.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA RENACE AYACUCHO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 2,980 | 28.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AYACUCHO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 2,354 | 22.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MUSUQ ÑAN | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 1,863 | 17.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| QATUN TARPUY | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 1,771 | 17% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA POPULAR | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 1,111 | 10.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 349 | 3.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI79.950–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.5745846742628515, oldest_gap=6.00306866129651, previous_gap=6.213555109454163
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility7.87percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[2.6876576498216926,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,97.31234235017831],[10.55348437051907,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,89.44651562948091],[0,0,0,10.654008438818565,0,0,0,0,89.34599156118142]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility10.65percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[2.6876576498216926,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,97.31234235017831],[10.55348437051907,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,89.44651562948091],[0,0,0,10.654008438818565,0,0,0,0,89.34599156118142]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility9.26percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[2.6876576498216926,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,97.31234235017831],[10.55348437051907,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,89.44651562948091],[0,0,0,10.654008438818565,0,0,0,0,89.34599156118142]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}
other · open
2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.
other · open
Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.
other · open
Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}
other · open
Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.
other · open
Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.
Sources
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2022-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2018-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2014-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2022 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2018 - [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2014 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “AYACUCHO / VICTOR FAJARDO — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-1c6a39b059d6e7. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.