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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

AREQUIPA / CAYLLOMA — Provincial municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · AREQUIPA / CAYLLOMA / AREQUIPA · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-1c62161d2e8064

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AREQUIPA / CAYLLOMA / AREQUIPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-517943a8ca5c9823c52b97f8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA21.1%
  • YO AREQUIPA14.8%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA12.8%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO8.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS8.4%
  • AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO8.2%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE7.2%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU6.9%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU5.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORA5.1%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL1.1%
Results for event-87b1eb6c912191003eeb8541
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/S3bc179da18/202210,28421.1%UnknownRecorded
YO AREQUIPAperu/S3bc179da18/20227,19514.8%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/S3bc179da18/20226,23712.8%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3bc179da18/20224,2958.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/S3bc179da18/20224,0878.4%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTUROperu/S3bc179da18/20224,0018.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/S3bc179da18/20223,4967.2%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20223,3566.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3bc179da18/20222,6865.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORAperu/S3bc179da18/20222,5015.1%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3bc179da18/20225491.1%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO26.9%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA22.6%
  • AREQUIPA RENACE16.2%
  • AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION9.7%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO5.6%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU4.8%
  • JUNTOS POR EL SUR3.7%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL3.5%
  • ACCION POPULAR2.7%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA2.4%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU1.8%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD0.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS0.0%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.0%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS0.0%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA0.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIA0.0%
Results for event-deaa18e7f7720730ee5b6dae
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/Sbbedb7d378/201813,14726.9%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/Sbbedb7d378/201811,00722.6%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/Sbbedb7d378/20187,89616.2%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACIONperu/Sbbedb7d378/20184,7539.7%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,7195.6%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20182,3634.8%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL SURperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,8203.7%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,7103.5%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,3322.7%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20181,1782.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sbbedb7d378/20188861.8%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIAperu/Sbbedb7d378/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO26.1%
  • AREQUIPA RENACE20.6%
  • AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO18.4%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA14.9%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AREQUIPA6.1%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA4.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS3.1%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS2.1%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD2.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL1.7%
Results for event-21f6b8558bfe0ba6784a52c1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTUROperu/S0ef30ae2f8/201411,88326.1%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20149,37320.6%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20148,38118.4%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20146,78614.9%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AREQUIPAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,7956.1%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20142,2314.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20141,3923.1%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20149482.1%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20149132%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S0ef30ae2f8/20147531.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

71.630–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.344609443999426, oldest_gap=5.521944780552193, previous_gap=4.384257646841899

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

6.95percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[8.821656705075277,5.516873087271756,0,0,0,0,0,0,85.66147020765297],[5.570465673721087,1.8151646145336093,2.7288930773800986,0,0,0,0,0,89.8854766343652],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[8.821656705075277,5.516873087271756,0,0,0,0,0,0,85.66147020765297],[5.570465673721087,1.8151646145336093,2.7288930773800986,0,0,0,0,0,89.8854766343652],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[8.821656705075277,5.516873087271756,0,0,0,0,0,0,85.66147020765297],[5.570465673721087,1.8151646145336093,2.7288930773800986,0,0,0,0,0,89.8854766343652],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AREQUIPA / CAYLLOMA — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-1c62161d2e8064. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.