Office briefing
ANCASH / CASMA — Provincial municipal ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Peru · ANCASH / CASMA / ANCASH · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-17bcb7fb417439
Read the complete original research briefing
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- ANCASH / CASMA / ANCASH
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-fd3aabe03019fe147fe449ef
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2022-10-02
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITO32.9%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO18.9%
- SOCIOS POR ANCASH17.1%
- MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANO13.0%
- ALIANZA GOBIERNO UNIDAD Y ACCION - AGUA12.0%
- PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE1.9%
- JUNTOS POR EL PERU1.6%
- PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20211.3%
- FUERZA POPULAR0.8%
- PARTIDO MORADO0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITO | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 9,054 | 32.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 5,188 | 18.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| SOCIOS POR ANCASH | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 4,703 | 17.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANO | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 3,577 | 13% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA GOBIERNO UNIDAD Y ACCION - AGUA | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 3,313 | 12% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 532 | 1.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR EL PERU | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 440 | 1.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021 | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 346 | 1.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA POPULAR | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 208 | 0.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO MORADO | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 147 | 0.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
2018-10-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO16.3%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU12.4%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITO11.5%
- RESTAURACION NACIONAL9.7%
- MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANO9.7%
- UNION POR EL PERU7.4%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ANDE - MAR6.1%
- PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO5.4%
- TODOS POR EL PERU4.7%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL ANCASH A LA OBRA4.6%
- SIEMPRE UNIDOS4.3%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL RIO SANTA CAUDALOSO2.8%
- ACCION POPULAR1.6%
- JUNTOS POR EL PERU1.4%
- FUERZA POPULAR1.3%
- PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU0.3%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL HORA CERO0.2%
- PERU NACION0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 4,091 | 16.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 3,110 | 12.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 2,888 | 11.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| RESTAURACION NACIONAL | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 2,428 | 9.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 2,423 | 9.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNION POR EL PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,842 | 7.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ANDE - MAR | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,531 | 6.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,344 | 5.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TODOS POR EL PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,181 | 4.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL ANCASH A LA OBRA | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,156 | 4.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| SIEMPRE UNIDOS | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,069 | 4.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL RIO SANTA CAUDALOSO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 692 | 2.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION POPULAR | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 404 | 1.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| JUNTOS POR EL PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 362 | 1.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA POPULAR | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 334 | 1.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 86 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL HORA CERO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 62 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PERU NACION | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 46 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2014-10-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO23.0%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL PURO ANCASH16.7%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU16.0%
- UNION POR EL PERU11.5%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL RIO SANTA CAUDALOSO11.3%
- PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO9.0%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ANDE - MAR5.1%
- SIEMPRE UNIDOS2.0%
- PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO1.6%
- UNION NACIONALISTA ANCASHINA1.5%
- MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANO1.2%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITO1.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 5,745 | 23% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL PURO ANCASH | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 4,187 | 16.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 4,003 | 16% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNION POR EL PERU | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 2,867 | 11.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE REGIONAL RIO SANTA CAUDALOSO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 2,823 | 11.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO HUMANISTA PERUANO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 2,241 | 9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL ANDE - MAR | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 1,282 | 5.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| SIEMPRE UNIDOS | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 497 | 2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 395 | 1.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNION NACIONALISTA ANCASHINA | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 384 | 1.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ACCION NACIONALISTA PERUANO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 298 | 1.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL EL MAICITO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 282 | 1.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI48.850–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.05409335466046, oldest_gap=6.231003039513677, previous_gap=3.9163240049502956
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility27.32percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[18.859968009306385,0,0,0.7561436672967864,0,0,0,0,80.38388832339685],[16.331989300970097,12.415665296019801,1.6128388358816719,1.3333865623378178,5.3654836520419975,0,7.353586969539702,0,55.58704938320891],[22.976323788193888,16.009438489841624,0,0,1.5797472404415294,0,11.466165413533835,0,47.96832506798913]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility14.35percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[18.859968009306385,0,0,0.7561436672967864,0,0,0,0,80.38388832339685],[16.331989300970097,12.415665296019801,1.6128388358816719,1.3333865623378178,5.3654836520419975,0,7.353586969539702,0,55.58704938320891],[22.976323788193888,16.009438489841624,0,0,1.5797472404415294,0,11.466165413533835,0,47.96832506798913]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility20.84percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[18.859968009306385,0,0,0.7561436672967864,0,0,0,0,80.38388832339685],[16.331989300970097,12.415665296019801,1.6128388358816719,1.3333865623378178,5.3654836520419975,0,7.353586969539702,0,55.58704938320891],[22.976323788193888,16.009438489841624,0,0,1.5797472404415294,0,11.466165413533835,0,47.96832506798913]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}
other · open
2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.
other · open
Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.
other · open
Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}
other · open
Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.
other · open
Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.
Sources
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2022-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2018-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2014-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2022 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2018 - [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2014 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “ANCASH / CASMA — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-17bcb7fb417439. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.