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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LIMA / LIMA / LOS OLIVOS — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · LIMA / LIMA / LOS OLIVOS / LIMA · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-16af37a264a54a

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LIMA / LIMA / LOS OLIVOS / LIMA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-241c0faf0822f0c23255a7f1
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PODEMOS PERU23.3%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU16.4%
  • RENOVACION POPULAR15.6%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 202110.4%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU9.2%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO5.8%
  • PARTIDO MORADO5.1%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL4.5%
  • FUERZA POPULAR2.9%
  • PARTIDO PATRIOTICO DEL PERU2.8%
  • ACCION POPULAR2.1%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBRE2.0%
Results for event-f56550ddb831e634a5d69eb0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PODEMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/202248,84923.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/202234,41916.4%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/202232,62815.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/Sc91a28be23/202221,74010.4%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/202219,2819.2%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sc91a28be23/202212,0505.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO MORADOperu/Sc91a28be23/202210,7595.1%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sc91a28be23/20229,4264.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/20226,1282.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO PATRIOTICO DEL PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20225,8272.8%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/20224,3072.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO NACIONAL PERU LIBREperu/Sc91a28be23/20224,0982%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS44.8%
  • ACCION POPULAR13.4%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA11.1%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU6.2%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO3.3%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL3.2%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL2.7%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC2.6%
  • FUERZA POPULAR2.2%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD2.1%
  • PERU NACION2.1%
  • TODOS POR EL PERU1.8%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL1.3%
  • UNION POR EL PERU1.2%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA1.1%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.7%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP0.0%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU0.0%
  • PERU LIBERTARIO0.0%
  • PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIO0.0%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU0.0%
  • VAMOS PERU0.0%
Results for event-93fc377eedf8b1accdac7cfe
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/S3a6d07677a/201891,93744.8%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/201827,50913.4%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/S3a6d07677a/201822,79711.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/201812,7496.2%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/20186,7493.3%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/S3a6d07677a/20186,5643.2%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S3a6d07677a/20185,5372.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/S3a6d07677a/20185,3712.6%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20184,5122.2%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S3a6d07677a/20184,3122.1%UnknownRecorded
PERU NACIONperu/S3a6d07677a/20184,2572.1%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20183,7641.8%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,7161.3%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,5461.2%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,2731.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,4030.7%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PERU LIBERTARIOperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PERUANOS POR EL KAMBIOperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PERU POSIBLE28.6%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS23.3%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL18.2%
  • POR TI LOS OLIVOS11.4%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC4.4%
  • PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO3.2%
  • FUERZA POPULAR2.6%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU2.0%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA1.3%
  • UNION POR EL PERU1.2%
  • ACCION POPULAR1.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL0.9%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO0.7%
  • VAMOS PERU0.6%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.5%
Results for event-be09b491d02df17372bfc396
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PERU POSIBLEperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201459,54528.6%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201448,44823.3%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201437,94618.2%UnknownRecorded
POR TI LOS OLIVOSperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201423,69311.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20149,1504.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20146,7543.2%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20145,4772.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20144,0822%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,6501.3%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,4771.2%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,0471%UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,9170.9%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,4490.7%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,2650.6%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,1330.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

29.530–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.887433655351483, oldest_gap=5.334249854590379, previous_gap=31.428905929871803

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[5.751460536866623,16.42817595173546,2.0557295047539044,2.9248921302837068,0,0,0,0,72.8397418763603],[3.2922593611582665,6.219145739429062,13.419286229975219,2.2010185564596383,0.6844035981189877,2.6200511229487407,1.2419754531795741,0,70.32185993873051],[0.6965241091557589,1.9621886912172588,0.9839785034105166,2.632755380156033,3.2466002989910256,4.398340647877981,1.1906764792124327,0,84.88893588997897]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.34percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[5.751460536866623,16.42817595173546,2.0557295047539044,2.9248921302837068,0,0,0,0,72.8397418763603],[3.2922593611582665,6.219145739429062,13.419286229975219,2.2010185564596383,0.6844035981189877,2.6200511229487407,1.2419754531795741,0,70.32185993873051],[0.6965241091557589,1.9621886912172588,0.9839785034105166,2.632755380156033,3.2466002989910256,4.398340647877981,1.1906764792124327,0,84.88893588997897]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.62percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[5.751460536866623,16.42817595173546,2.0557295047539044,2.9248921302837068,0,0,0,0,72.8397418763603],[3.2922593611582665,6.219145739429062,13.419286229975219,2.2010185564596383,0.6844035981189877,2.6200511229487407,1.2419754531795741,0,70.32185993873051],[0.6965241091557589,1.9621886912172588,0.9839785034105166,2.632755380156033,3.2466002989910256,4.398340647877981,1.1906764792124327,0,84.88893588997897]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

  • CPI

    vote intention · fieldwork 2026-07-31–2026-08-04

    Poll snapshot; no calibrated win probability or automatic incumbent-defeat flag

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LIMA / LIMA / LOS OLIVOS — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-16af37a264a54a. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53, peru--url-defad4027d072808a29ca751.