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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / CAYMA — District municipal ballot

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Peru · AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / CAYMA / AREQUIPA · municipal · District municipal ballotPE-157ad5216c8c48

Read the complete original research briefing

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / CAYMA / AREQUIPA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-0768cf9dd3982b99942c5e14
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS22.4%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA18.1%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA16.6%
  • AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO9.1%
  • AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION8.9%
  • YO AREQUIPA6.0%
  • AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL5.3%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO3.4%
  • AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO2.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORA2.5%
  • JUNTOS POR EL PERU1.5%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU1.3%
  • FUERZA POPULAR1.2%
  • PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 20211.1%
Results for event-af65349ae9651af31090f9e9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/Sc91a28be23/202212,04222.4%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/Sc91a28be23/20229,73118.1%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/Sc91a28be23/20228,93216.6%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTUROperu/Sc91a28be23/20224,8719.1%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACIONperu/Sc91a28be23/20224,7958.9%UnknownRecorded
YO AREQUIPAperu/Sc91a28be23/20223,2266%UnknownRecorded
AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIALperu/Sc91a28be23/20222,8285.3%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,8113.4%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,4502.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL REVALORAperu/Sc91a28be23/20221,3532.5%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20228301.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/Sc91a28be23/20227001.3%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA POPULARperu/Sc91a28be23/20226571.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021peru/Sc91a28be23/20225911.1%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA21.2%
  • AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO14.5%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA11.6%
  • AREQUIPA RENACE10.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS9.6%
  • AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACION8.4%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS7.7%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU7.2%
  • EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD5.7%
  • ACCION POPULAR3.5%
  • TODOS POR EL PERU0.0%
  • ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO0.0%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.0%
  • FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP0.0%
  • PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC0.0%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA0.0%
  • PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU0.0%
  • RESTAURACION NACIONAL0.0%
  • UNION POR EL PERU0.0%
  • VAMOS PERU0.0%
  • JUNTOS POR EL SUR0.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIA0.0%
  • TODOS POR AREQUIPA0.0%
Results for event-b8a494742c2c2a346a11f5f0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/S3a6d07677a/20189,92821.2%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/S3a6d07677a/20186,79314.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/S3a6d07677a/20185,44911.6%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/S3a6d07677a/20184,90510.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/S3a6d07677a/20184,5019.6%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA TRANSFORMACIONperu/S3a6d07677a/20183,9468.4%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/S3a6d07677a/20183,6137.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20183,3677.2%UnknownRecorded
EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTADperu/S3a6d07677a/20182,6865.7%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/S3a6d07677a/20181,6313.5%UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESOperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAPperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPCperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
RESTAURACION NACIONALperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL SURperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL INDEPENDIENTE AREQUIPA MIAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
TODOS POR AREQUIPAperu/S3a6d07677a/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • AREQUIPA RENACE24.1%
  • JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPA18.7%
  • VAMOS PERU16.1%
  • FUERZA AREQUIPEÑA12.2%
  • AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIO8.2%
  • VAMOS CAYMA CON LA NUEVA GENERACION 20144.8%
  • AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTURO3.8%
  • SIEMPRE UNIDOS2.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOS1.9%
  • ACCION POPULAR1.8%
  • UNION POR EL PERU1.7%
  • VAMOS AREQUIPA1.5%
  • DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA1.1%
  • SOLIDARIDAD NACIONAL0.8%
  • PERU PATRIA SEGURA0.4%
Results for event-0b8f8f056ff5642e5b92a2ce
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
AREQUIPA RENACEperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/201411,73924.1%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AREQUIPAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20149,11618.7%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20147,85116.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA AREQUIPEÑAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20145,92712.2%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA - UNIDOS POR EL GRAN CAMBIOperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143,9868.2%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS CAYMA CON LA NUEVA GENERACION 2014peru/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142,3444.8%UnknownRecorded
AREQUIPA, TRADICION Y FUTUROperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,8603.8%UnknownRecorded
SIEMPRE UNIDOSperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20141,3642.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AREQUIPA AVANCEMOSperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20149211.9%UnknownRecorded
ACCION POPULARperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20148551.8%UnknownRecorded
UNION POR EL PERUperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20148391.7%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS AREQUIPAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20147241.5%UnknownRecorded
DEMOCRACIA DIRECTAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20145401.1%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIDAD NACIONALperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20143860.8%UnknownRecorded
PERU PATRIA SEGURAperu/Sf2ea9fdc53/20142070.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

74.380–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.294182135756362, oldest_gap=5.390575227604348, previous_gap=6.695999487387601

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[3.3651076797294537,1.3007042384376684,0,1.2208038352193544,0,0,0,0,94.11338424661352],[0,7.191524808304321,3.4836284414447127,0,0,0,0,0,89.32484675025096],[0,0,1.757126122608356,0,0,0,1.7242442302554513,0,96.5186296471362]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[3.3651076797294537,1.3007042384376684,0,1.2208038352193544,0,0,0,0,94.11338424661352],[0,7.191524808304321,3.4836284414447127,0,0,0,0,0,89.32484675025096],[0,0,1.757126122608356,0,0,0,1.7242442302554513,0,96.5186296471362]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.15percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[3.3651076797294537,1.3007042384376684,0,1.2208038352193544,0,0,0,0,94.11338424661352],[0,7.191524808304321,3.4836284414447127,0,0,0,0,0,89.32484675025096],[0,0,1.757126122608356,0,0,0,1.7242442302554513,0,96.5186296471362]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}

  • other · open

    Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}

  • other · open

    2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.

  • other · open

    Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.

  • other · open

    Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}

  • other · open

    Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.

  • other · open

    Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AREQUIPA / AREQUIPA / CAYMA — District municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-157ad5216c8c48. Sources: peru--url-9bd067e0afb3adebfbe26129, peru--url-d2ce24b0d891532338ce443b, peru--url-70fbea0821c469ccfe91fe2c, peru--Sc91a28be23, peru--S3a6d07677a, peru--Sf2ea9fdc53.