Office briefing
CAJAMARCA / SAN MARCOS — Provincial municipal ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Peru · CAJAMARCA / SAN MARCOS / CAJAMARCA · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-0c79093ffa35fd
Read the complete original research briefing
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- CAJAMARCA / SAN MARCOS / CAJAMARCA
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-179572a205f30ba38ed35108
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2022-10-02
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 202141.0%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU32.4%
- FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA20.2%
- CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE4.6%
- AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL1.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO FRENTE DE LA ESPERANZA 2021 | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 9,803 | 41% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 7,742 | 32.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 4,841 | 20.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 1,111 | 4.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AVANZA PAIS - PARTIDO DE INTEGRACION SOCIAL | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 426 | 1.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
2018-10-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO48.6%
- MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIAL33.2%
- ACCION POPULAR8.2%
- FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA4.4%
- CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE3.6%
- PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU2.0%
- DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA0.0%
- EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD0.0%
- PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU0.0%
- RESTAURACION NACIONAL0.0%
- PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO0.0%
- MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION REGIONAL0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 10,709 | 48.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIAL | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 7,326 | 33.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION POPULAR | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,813 | 8.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 979 | 4.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 789 | 3.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PODEMOS POR EL PROGRESO DEL PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 430 | 2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| DEMOCRACIA DIRECTA | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| EL FRENTE AMPLIO POR JUSTICIA, VIDA Y LIBERTAD | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| RESTAURACION NACIONAL | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION REGIONAL | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 0 (recorded zero) | 0% (recorded zero) | Unknown | Recorded |
2014-10-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIAL37.0%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO26.4%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE DIALOGO SOCIAL12.0%
- CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE8.5%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA SOCIAL CAJAMARCA7.2%
- FUERZA POPULAR7.2%
- FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA1.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION SOCIAL | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 7,853 | 37% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 5,603 | 26.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE DIALOGO SOCIAL | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 2,553 | 12% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CAJAMARCA SIEMPRE VERDE | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 1,793 | 8.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL FUERZA SOCIAL CAJAMARCA | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 1,538 | 7.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA POPULAR | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 1,524 | 7.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE REGIONAL DE CAJAMARCA | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 354 | 1.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI45.830–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.615140241608493, oldest_gap=10.604203977754736, previous_gap=15.345187335571076
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility56.8percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,32.36216193621201,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.63783806378798],[48.575705343372945,0,8.223714052435817,0,0,0,0,0,43.20058060419124],[26.406824394382127,0,0,7.1825808275992085,0,0,0,0,66.41059477801866]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility30.39percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,32.36216193621201,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.63783806378798],[48.575705343372945,0,8.223714052435817,0,0,0,0,0,43.20058060419124],[26.406824394382127,0,0,7.1825808275992085,0,0,0,0,66.41059477801866]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility43.6percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,32.36216193621201,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.63783806378798],[48.575705343372945,0,8.223714052435817,0,0,0,0,0,43.20058060419124],[26.406824394382127,0,0,7.1825808275992085,0,0,0,0,66.41059477801866]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}
other · open
2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.
other · open
Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.
other · open
Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}
other · open
Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.
other · open
Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.
Sources
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2022-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2018-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2014-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2022 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2018 - [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2014 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “CAJAMARCA / SAN MARCOS — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-0c79093ffa35fd. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.