Office briefing
AYACUCHO / PAUCAR DEL SARA SARA — Provincial municipal ballot
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Peru · AYACUCHO / PAUCAR DEL SARA SARA / AYACUCHO · municipal · Provincial municipal ballotPE-06a37910ed4132
Read the complete original research briefing
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- AYACUCHO / PAUCAR DEL SARA SARA / AYACUCHO
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-704243165f90767cce47f43c
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2022-10-02
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AGUA25.0%
- ALIANZA POR NUESTRO DESARROLLO23.7%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO20.4%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO18.9%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL WARI LLAQTA11.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL AGUA | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 1,083 | 25% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA POR NUESTRO DESARROLLO | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 1,025 | 23.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 883 | 20.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 819 | 18.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL WARI LLAQTA | peru/S3bc179da18/2022 | 517 | 11.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
2018-10-07
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MUSUQ ÑAN30.2%
- MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO20.8%
- TECNOLOGIA DE PUNTA PARA AYACUCHO14.6%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL13.8%
- ACCION POPULAR6.0%
- PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO5.4%
- QATUN TARPUY3.6%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO3.1%
- DESARROLLO INTEGRAL AYACUCHO2.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUSUQ ÑAN | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 1,260 | 30.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO REGIONAL GANA AYACUCHO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 867 | 20.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TECNOLOGIA DE PUNTA PARA AYACUCHO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 608 | 14.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 576 | 13.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION POPULAR | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 249 | 6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 225 | 5.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| QATUN TARPUY | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 152 | 3.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 129 | 3.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| DESARROLLO INTEGRAL AYACUCHO | peru/Sbbedb7d378/2018 | 108 | 2.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
2014-10-05
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- UNIDOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AYACUCHO20.0%
- ALIANZA RENACE AYACUCHO15.8%
- MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL15.8%
- FUERZA POPULAR14.8%
- QATUN TARPUY10.2%
- ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AYACUCHO9.5%
- ACCION POPULAR9.1%
- PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO4.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNIDOS POR EL DESARROLLO DE AYACUCHO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 870 | 20% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA RENACE AYACUCHO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 689 | 15.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE INNOVACION REGIONAL | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 687 | 15.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA POPULAR | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 644 | 14.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| QATUN TARPUY | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 443 | 10.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO DE AYACUCHO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 414 | 9.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| ACCION POPULAR | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 398 | 9.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO | peru/S0ef30ae2f8/2014 | 205 | 4.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI79.780–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.3404206147446267, oldest_gap=4.1609195402298855, previous_gap=9.415428845232388
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility15.84percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[18.927663508204297,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,81.07233649179571],[3.0905606133205556,0,5.965500718735027,0,5.390512697652132,0,0,0,85.5534259702923],[0,0,9.149425287356323,14.804597701149426,4.712643678160919,0,0,0,71.33333333333333]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility17.99percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[18.927663508204297,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,81.07233649179571],[3.0905606133205556,0,5.965500718735027,0,5.390512697652132,0,0,0,85.5534259702923],[0,0,9.149425287356323,14.804597701149426,4.712643678160919,0,0,0,71.33333333333333]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility16.91percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Eight exact standalone national-party-name categories in ONPE returns. Regional movements, alliances and changed labels remain Other; no merger or party-rename bridge is assumed. Source geography and validity exclusions apply before calculation. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["ALIANZA PARA EL PROGRESO","PARTIDO DEMOCRATICO SOMOS PERU","ACCION POPULAR","FUERZA POPULAR","PARTIDO APRISTA PERUANO","PARTIDO POPULAR CRISTIANO - PPC","UNION POR EL PERU","FRENTE POPULAR AGRICOLA FIA DEL PERU - FREPAP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[18.927663508204297,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,81.07233649179571],[3.0905606133205556,0,5.965500718735027,0,5.390512697652132,0,0,0,85.5534259702923],[0,0,9.149425287356323,14.804597701149426,4.712643678160919,0,0,0,71.33333333333333]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
ONPE geography matched on full named hierarchy; original electoral codes retained. Municipal votes are shared mayor–council slate ballots; seats require JNE proclamation. The 3,085-entry INEI 2026 municipal directory and one unresolved 2025-only entry are tracked separately from RENIEC’s 3,382 electoral rolls. The complete named 2026 local call register and three-cycle vote/seat archive remain unavailable. Manitea Alta is bridged to its new district/code. Valle Nazarategui’s omission requires legal reconciliation. Five malformed 2022 source units, full seat proclamations and current control remain incomplete. Pión’s final annulment and Ninabamba’s final 2025 result are resolved.
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_la_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_2025 .csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 110, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S4d993bb027"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2025.csv", "year": 2025, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 22, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S125d1cb4ee"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2024.csv", "year": 2024, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 12, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S8ba8db0d39"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 75, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S6040ea1fd1"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_EM2015_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 915, "offices": 9, "source_id": "S7fd66d3286"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 95, "offices": 3, "source_id": "Sb5ab8b4e28"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 509064, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S295a380ddb"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 524570, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sa818fce54b"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 765271, "offices": 196, "source_id": "S3bc179da18"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2022_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 542812, "offices": 1694, "source_id": "Sc91a28be23"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Diciembre_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 395, "offices": 18, "source_id": "S251d92ae75"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatorias_2021.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 359, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S6894929125"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2022_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.csv", "year": 2022, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 47156, "offices": 9, "source_id": "Sfcc78da016"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2023_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2023, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 176, "offices": 11, "source_id": "S7e0c9a7d57"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2021_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2021, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 8, "offices": 1, "source_id": "S5d2aee2cc9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Elecciones_Municipales_Complementarias_2019_0.csv", "year": 2019, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 561, "offices": 12, "source_id": "Sd5e707eb97"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_Consulta_Popular_de_Revocatoria_de_Autoridades_Municipales_2017.csv", "year": 2017, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 664, "offices": 0, "source_id": "S37c8a9acbe"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_Resultados_por_mesa_de_las_Nuevas_Elecciones_Municipales_2014_Distrital.csv", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2472, "offices": 36, "source_id": "S3d73c74d79"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Provincial.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 738, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9fe6e388b4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_EMC2015_Municipal_Distrital.csv", "year": 2015, "event_kind": "supplementary", "rows": 2029, "offices": 29, "source_id": "Sf6d6a81fcd"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 1052, "offices": 2, "source_id": "S9520d02bc4"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_SER2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "runoff", "rows": 68006, "offices": 14, "source_id": "Sb8cc55f349"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Distrital.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 835170, "offices": 1647, "source_id": "Sf2ea9fdc53"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Municipal_Provincial.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1188948, "offices": 195, "source_id": "S0ef30ae2f8"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Consejero_Regional.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 792713, "offices": 25, "source_id": "Sb45e7b898e"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2014_Gobernador_Vicegobernador.zip", "year": 2014, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 851285, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S189e36d0d6"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Gobernador_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S984d5a0bb9"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Consejero_Regional_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 755523, "offices": 25, "source_id": "S3bf32d4ffa"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Distrital_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1002013, "offices": 1678, "source_id": "S3a6d07677a"}
other · open
Source reconciliation: {"file": "pe_ERM2018_Municipal_Provincial_total.zip", "year": 2018, "event_kind": "ordinary", "rows": 1284368, "offices": 196, "source_id": "Sbbedb7d378"}
other · open
2026 populated-centre electoral roster reconciliation open: 374 is a net difference, not a verified list of missing offices. Renamings, incorporations and exclusions require the actual 2026 roster. All 3,008 imported names remain provisional members of the 2026 cohort.
other · open
Historical vote vectors and current political control not in INEI directory: The directory supplies identities, officeholder names and self-reported terms. No directory snapshot is counted as a completed election history.
other · open
Term-end exceptions: {"issue": "Term-end exceptions", "counts": {"2026": 2993, "": 4, "2025": 11}, "source_id": "Sa468bb63fbd0"}
other · open
Source encoding limitation: Invalid sequences occur outside all retained fields. Relevant identifiers and names passed the encoding check.
other · open
Partial current-cohort confirmation: RENIEC document contains only 26 centres receiving special registration, not all 3,382 upcoming centres. It does not close the national electoral-map gap.
Sources
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2022-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2018-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: https://www.datosabiertos.gob.pe/dataset/resultados-por-mesa-de-las-elecciones-municipales-provinciales-2014-oficina-nacional-de · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2022 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2018 - [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
- Peru: Resultados por mesa de las Elecciones Municipales Provinciales 2014 [Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales (ONPE)] · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “AYACUCHO / PAUCAR DEL SARA SARA — Provincial municipal ballot.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/PE-06a37910ed4132. Sources: peru--url-2167986ad6cb1469c5af7df3, peru--url-7b4df59b8b2465be34b9c6c3, peru--url-01d658538c97311184ffb6e0, peru--S3bc179da18, peru--Sbbedb7d378, peru--S0ef30ae2f8.