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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CINTALAPA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · CINTALAPA / CHIAPAS · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-7-17

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CINTALAPA / CHIAPAS
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-527b0af21df10d3e215bf1e8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA28.2%
  • PT23.5%
  • PVEM16.5%
  • RSP12.3%
  • PMCH3.8%
  • PCHU2.7%
  • PPCH1.3%
  • FXM1.1%
  • MC1.0%
  • PRI0.9%
  • PES0.9%
  • PAN0.7%
  • PRD0.4%
Results for event-9c1a106bf0bf56cce2a5bd73
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/202411,19828.2%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20249,32523.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20246,53116.5%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20244,87612.3%UnknownRecorded
PMCHmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20241,5023.8%UnknownRecorded
PCHUmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20241,0722.7%UnknownRecorded
PPCHmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20245151.3%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20244271.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20244151%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20243560.9%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20243410.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20242940.7%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S65aa7aa1e5/20241610.4%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA27.1%
  • PCHU22.3%
  • PVEM21.2%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD13.0%
  • PT4.3%
  • PMCH2.5%
  • FXM2.0%
  • RSP1.3%
  • MC1.0%
  • PNA0.9%
  • PES0.6%
  • PAN0.0%
  • PRI0.0%
  • PRD0.0%
  • PPCH0.0%
  • CAND_IND10.0%
  • CAND_IND20.0%
  • CAND_IND30.0%
  • CAND_IND40.0%
  • CAND_IND50.0%
  • CAND_IND60.0%
  • CAND_IND70.0%
  • CAND_IND80.0%
  • CAND_IND90.0%
  • CAND_IND100.0%
Results for event-19c87bcee89dda5f873ff6ba
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20219,79327.1%UnknownRecorded
PCHUmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20218,03422.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20217,64921.2%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20214,68813%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20211,5364.3%UnknownRecorded
PMCHmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20219032.5%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20217382%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20214721.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20213571%UnknownRecorded
PNAmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20213370.9%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20212150.6%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PPCHmexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND1mexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND2mexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND3mexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND4mexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND5mexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND6mexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND7mexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND8mexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND9mexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND10mexico/S8c9b957dfc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM35.5%
  • PT_MORENA_ES24.5%
  • PRI21.2%
  • MVC6.1%
  • PAN_PRD_MC4.2%
  • CAND_IND193.5%
  • CAND_IND202.0%
  • PANAL1.5%
  • PCU1.2%
Results for event-23e3f1e612acb4b660844e83
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/Sada651724e/201812,41835.5%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sada651724e/20188,58524.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sada651724e/20187,43121.2%UnknownRecorded
MVCmexico/Sada651724e/20182,1396.1%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Sada651724e/20181,4624.2%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND19mexico/Sada651724e/20181,2283.5%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND20mexico/Sada651724e/20186952%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sada651724e/20185141.5%UnknownRecorded
PCUmexico/Sada651724e/20184091.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

71.730–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.060384189338883, oldest_gap=10.988790458989136, previous_gap=5.065952422095503

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0.7943155107664874,0.9618242239213249,0.43498230351498124,25.193850809175153,17.645151703455543,1.1212276767622187,30.254234998514036,23.594412773890255],[0,0,0,4.423708311733195,22.02926098727032,1.0281665802661137,28.204020505731236,44.314843614999134],[0,21.303861701212696,0,0,35.601043548063416,0,0,43.09509475072388]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.88percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0.7943155107664874,0.9618242239213249,0.43498230351498124,25.193850809175153,17.645151703455543,1.1212276767622187,30.254234998514036,23.594412773890255],[0,0,0,4.423708311733195,22.02926098727032,1.0281665802661137,28.204020505731236,44.314843614999134],[0,21.303861701212696,0,0,35.601043548063416,0,0,43.09509475072388]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0.7943155107664874,0.9618242239213249,0.43498230351498124,25.193850809175153,17.645151703455543,1.1212276767622187,30.254234998514036,23.594412773890255],[0,0,0,4.423708311733195,22.02926098727032,1.0281665802661137,28.204020505731236,44.314843614999134],[0,21.303861701212696,0,0,35.601043548063416,0,0,43.09509475072388]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CINTALAPA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-7-17. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S65aa7aa1e5, mexico--S8c9b957dfc, mexico--Sada651724e.