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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

HONDURAS DE LA SIERRA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · HONDURAS DE LA SIERRA / CHIAPAS · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-7-124

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
HONDURAS DE LA SIERRA / CHIAPAS
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-f560595a78c6ffb0f31dea49
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PMCH45.3%
  • RSP26.8%
  • PCHU15.5%
  • MORENA2.3%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD2.3%
  • PVEM0.8%
  • PT0.5%
  • FXM0.3%
  • MC0.2%
Results for event-a8f8b0df58cf02d691da5815
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PMCHmexico/Sf1e3556bcf/20241,32745.3%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sf1e3556bcf/202478426.8%UnknownRecorded
PCHUmexico/Sf1e3556bcf/202445415.5%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sf1e3556bcf/2024672.3%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/Sf1e3556bcf/2024662.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sf1e3556bcf/2024220.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sf1e3556bcf/2024150.5%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sf1e3556bcf/2024100.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sf1e3556bcf/202470.2%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES43.9%
  • MVC37.3%
  • PCU1.4%
  • PANAL0.8%
  • PVEM0.3%
  • PRI0.1%
Results for event-97fdfb3d1f372d0e357b46b7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S7c6088c8dc/20181,55443.9%UnknownRecorded
MVCmexico/S7c6088c8dc/20181,32037.3%UnknownRecorded
PCUmexico/S7c6088c8dc/2018491.4%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S7c6088c8dc/2018270.8%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S7c6088c8dc/2018110.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S7c6088c8dc/201850.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=19.73110465116279, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=7.889413351314907

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

3.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.5450581395348837,0.7994186046511628,0.2543604651162791,2.434593023255814,95.96656976744185],[0,0.16857720836142953,0,0,0.37086985839514497,0,0,99.46055293324342],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.5450581395348837,0.7994186046511628,0.2543604651162791,2.434593023255814,95.96656976744185],[0,0.16857720836142953,0,0,0.37086985839514497,0,0,99.46055293324342],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.5450581395348837,0.7994186046511628,0.2543604651162791,2.434593023255814,95.96656976744185],[0,0.16857720836142953,0,0,0.37086985839514497,0,0,99.46055293324342],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “HONDURAS DE LA SIERRA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-7-124. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sf1e3556bcf, mexico--S7c6088c8dc.