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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

MINATITLAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · MINATITLAN / COLIMA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-6-9

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MINATITLAN / COLIMA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-b12abf1b19e83923731f3da9
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PNA48.7%
  • PAN_PRI38.8%
  • PVEM_PT_MORENA6.2%
  • MC1.1%
  • PES0.2%
  • FPM0.0%
Results for event-47b15203a5f56453e2a29613
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PNAmexico/Sf7f8c9fdff/20243,08848.7%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/Sf7f8c9fdff/20242,46238.8%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_PT_MORENAmexico/Sf7f8c9fdff/20243946.2%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sf7f8c9fdff/2024671.1%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sf7f8c9fdff/2024140.2%UnknownRecorded
FPMmexico/Sf7f8c9fdff/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM40.8%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD36.7%
  • PES12.3%
  • MORENA5.3%
  • MC1.2%
  • PNA0.8%
  • FXM0.7%
  • PT0.0%
Results for event-1a5a8bd0d1ff00672a3ed262
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/S44c40d6d2c/20212,49840.8%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S44c40d6d2c/20212,24936.7%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S44c40d6d2c/202175412.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S44c40d6d2c/20213265.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S44c40d6d2c/2021761.2%UnknownRecorded
PNAmexico/S44c40d6d2c/2021470.8%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S44c40d6d2c/2021410.7%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S44c40d6d2c/202130%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI_PVEM41.9%
  • PT_MORENA_ES40.6%
  • MC7.3%
  • PANAL3.8%
  • PAN_PRD3.7%
Results for event-d96c4ad85415b10fbd7b419a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRI_PVEMmexico/S41afb1eb6e/20182,47441.9%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S41afb1eb6e/20182,40040.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S41afb1eb6e/20184297.3%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S41afb1eb6e/20182253.8%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRDmexico/S41afb1eb6e/20182213.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

61.960–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.39004149377594, oldest_gap=1.2871803791963856, previous_gap=4.154154154154156

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,1.112033195020747,0,98.88796680497926],[0,0,0,0.05005005005005005,41.67500834167501,1.2679346012679347,5.4387721054387725,51.56823490156823],[0,0,0,0,0,7.462167333449296,0,92.53783266655071]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,1.112033195020747,0,98.88796680497926],[0,0,0,0.05005005005005005,41.67500834167501,1.2679346012679347,5.4387721054387725,51.56823490156823],[0,0,0,0,0,7.462167333449296,0,92.53783266655071]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.24percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,1.112033195020747,0,98.88796680497926],[0,0,0,0.05005005005005005,41.67500834167501,1.2679346012679347,5.4387721054387725,51.56823490156823],[0,0,0,0,0,7.462167333449296,0,92.53783266655071]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “MINATITLAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-6-9. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sf7f8c9fdff, mexico--S44c40d6d2c, mexico--S41afb1eb6e.