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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

VILLA UNION — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · VILLA UNION / COAHUILA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-5-37

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VILLA UNION / COAHUILA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-49bc7ee65e4f7243f3c26d9d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI_PRD_UDC55.8%
  • PT_MORENA40.2%
  • PAN1.9%
Results for event-fff25d49600b620b5a1e691c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRI_PRD_UDCmexico/S74d77c6b01/20242,01155.8%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENAmexico/S74d77c6b01/20241,45040.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S74d77c6b01/2024671.9%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI_PRD52.0%
  • MORENA43.3%
  • PAN3.5%
Results for event-6ba5281f278c7433018960c1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRI_PRDmexico/S9c08b812d6/20211,80652%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S9c08b812d6/20211,50443.3%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S9c08b812d6/20211203.5%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_UDC_MC43.3%
  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL26.9%
  • MORENA14.5%
  • PT8.1%
  • PRD4.5%
Results for event-036c08504abefdc32ad5ef8f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_UDC_MCmexico/Sf38a7722cd/20181,41243.3%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/Sf38a7722cd/201887826.9%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sf38a7722cd/201847414.5%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sf38a7722cd/20182658.1%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sf38a7722cd/20181484.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

30.680–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.901360544217688, oldest_gap=16.80830972615675, previous_gap=8.804664723032069

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.45percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.899092970521542,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.10090702947846],[3.498542274052478,0,0,0,0,0,43.84839650145773,52.6530612244898],[0,0,4.658482845451684,8.341202392193894,0,0,14.919735599622285,72.08057916273214]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.43percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.899092970521542,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.10090702947846],[3.498542274052478,0,0,0,0,0,43.84839650145773,52.6530612244898],[0,0,4.658482845451684,8.341202392193894,0,0,14.919735599622285,72.08057916273214]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.94percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.899092970521542,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.10090702947846],[3.498542274052478,0,0,0,0,0,43.84839650145773,52.6530612244898],[0,0,4.658482845451684,8.341202392193894,0,0,14.919735599622285,72.08057916273214]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “VILLA UNION — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-5-37. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S74d77c6b01, mexico--S9c08b812d6, mexico--Sf38a7722cd.