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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SEYBAPLAYA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SEYBAPLAYA / CAMPECHE · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-4-13

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SEYBAPLAYA / CAMPECHE
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-3a67b1d32249fdbf8f8b37f9
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_PVEM_MORENA43.5%
  • PRI_PRD39.9%
  • PAN5.1%
  • CAND_IND24.0%
  • MC4.0%
  • CL0.6%
  • PESC0.2%
  • MLC0.1%
  • EDC0.0%
Results for event-5e0a324e7c2c1e4977c7bf1e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_PVEM_MORENAmexico/S752fda3340/20243,88743.5%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PRDmexico/S752fda3340/20243,56539.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S752fda3340/20244535.1%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND2mexico/S752fda3340/20243574%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S752fda3340/20243544%UnknownRecorded
CLmexico/S752fda3340/2024500.6%UnknownRecorded
PESCmexico/S752fda3340/2024200.2%UnknownRecorded
MLCmexico/S752fda3340/202450.1%UnknownRecorded
EDCmexico/S752fda3340/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI_PRD34.5%
  • MORENA34.0%
  • MC19.2%
  • PVEM5.0%
  • PT3.5%
  • RSP0.8%
  • PES0.5%
  • FXM0.1%
  • CAND_IND10.0%
Results for event-d64057ee8925a1ff542f5e56
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S4ec89b8580/20212,99834.5%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S4ec89b8580/20212,95634%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S4ec89b8580/20211,67419.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S4ec89b8580/20214395%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S4ec89b8580/20213013.5%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S4ec89b8580/2021710.8%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S4ec89b8580/2021400.5%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S4ec89b8580/2021100.1%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND1mexico/S4ec89b8580/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.7049821654585173, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=0.4947579220167313

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.19percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[5.212288574387297,0,0,0,0,4.073179150845703,0,90.71453227476701],[0,0,0,3.545765107786547,5.171398280127224,19.719637177523854,34.82153374955825,36.741665685004115],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[5.212288574387297,0,0,0,0,4.073179150845703,0,90.71453227476701],[0,0,0,3.545765107786547,5.171398280127224,19.719637177523854,34.82153374955825,36.741665685004115],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[5.212288574387297,0,0,0,0,4.073179150845703,0,90.71453227476701],[0,0,0,3.545765107786547,5.171398280127224,19.719637177523854,34.82153374955825,36.741665685004115],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SEYBAPLAYA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-4-13. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S752fda3340, mexico--S4ec89b8580.