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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LA PAZ — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · LA PAZ / BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-3-3

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LA PAZ / BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-b094a608846bdef16e1b5d05
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA_PT_PVEM_NABCS47.6%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD_PRS_PHBCS39.7%
  • MC5.9%
  • FXMBCS2.0%
  • MLBCS1.7%
Results for event-ae71e0a06ae3fd5facc34278
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENA_PT_PVEM_NABCSmexico/S05f542692b/202461,28447.6%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRD_PRS_PHBCSmexico/S05f542692b/202451,09639.7%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S05f542692b/20247,5885.9%UnknownRecorded
FXMBCSmexico/S05f542692b/20242,5972%UnknownRecorded
MLBCSmexico/S05f542692b/20242,2011.7%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • COA_MORENA_PT45.2%
  • C_COMUN_PAN_PRI_PRD_PRS_PHBCS38.4%
  • MC3.9%
  • PVEM3.5%
  • PES1.6%
  • PANALBCS1.4%
  • FXM1.2%
  • BCSC1.2%
  • RSP1.1%
Results for event-92bee0241a2f73fb11beb489
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COA_MORENA_PTmexico/S306f1566e2/202151,21745.2%UnknownRecorded
C_COMUN_PAN_PRI_PRD_PRS_PHBCSmexico/S306f1566e2/202143,54438.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S306f1566e2/20214,4773.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S306f1566e2/20213,9243.5%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S306f1566e2/20211,7711.6%UnknownRecorded
PANALBCSmexico/S306f1566e2/20211,5781.4%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S306f1566e2/20211,4011.2%UnknownRecorded
BCSCmexico/S306f1566e2/20211,3151.2%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S306f1566e2/20211,2061.1%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA_ES39.7%
  • PAN_PRD_PRS_PHBCS30.4%
  • PRI10.0%
  • BCSC5.1%
  • PVEM4.4%
  • MC3.2%
  • PT1.8%
  • PANAL1.3%
  • MORENA0.0%
  • ES0.0%
Results for event-2236a469c4e78a9e7c0b4e6e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENA_ESmexico/Se5a10278a3/201848,93439.7%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_PRS_PHBCSmexico/Se5a10278a3/201837,40930.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Se5a10278a3/201812,28710%UnknownRecorded
BCSCmexico/Se5a10278a3/20186,3355.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Se5a10278a3/20185,4674.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Se5a10278a3/20183,9703.2%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Se5a10278a3/20182,2771.8%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Se5a10278a3/20181,6231.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Se5a10278a3/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/Se5a10278a3/20180 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

60.210–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.165686164499945, oldest_gap=9.742016195837774, previous_gap=6.948104280423422

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

3.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,6.081785101710402,0,93.91821489828959],[0,0,0,0,3.553285702643232,4.054041817210435,0,92.39267248014632],[0,10.386130411996415,0,1.9247350002535883,4.621223647951852,3.355818160301601,0,79.71209277949654]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,6.081785101710402,0,93.91821489828959],[0,0,0,0,3.553285702643232,4.054041817210435,0,92.39267248014632],[0,10.386130411996415,0,1.9247350002535883,4.621223647951852,3.355818160301601,0,79.71209277949654]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

8.47percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,6.081785101710402,0,93.91821489828959],[0,0,0,0,3.553285702643232,4.054041817210435,0,92.39267248014632],[0,10.386130411996415,0,1.9247350002535883,4.621223647951852,3.355818160301601,0,79.71209277949654]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LA PAZ — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-3-3. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S05f542692b, mexico--S306f1566e2, mexico--Se5a10278a3.