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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN LORENZO AXOCOMANITLA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SAN LORENZO AXOCOMANITLA / TLAXCALA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-29-59

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN LORENZO AXOCOMANITLA / TLAXCALA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-1cf5bdf3756b5da1d858f646
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA34.3%
  • PT28.3%
  • MC28.2%
  • PAC3.8%
  • PRI0.7%
  • PANALT0.3%
  • FXM0.2%
  • PRD0.1%
  • RSP0.1%
  • PAN_PRI0.1%
  • PAN0.1%
Results for event-7031430ed99a4161e1f332f0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S4fb334d0cf/20241,22434.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S4fb334d0cf/20241,01128.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S4fb334d0cf/20241,00728.2%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S4fb334d0cf/20241363.8%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S4fb334d0cf/2024240.7%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S4fb334d0cf/2024100.3%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S4fb334d0cf/202470.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S4fb334d0cf/202450.1%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S4fb334d0cf/202450.1%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/S4fb334d0cf/202450.1%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S4fb334d0cf/202440.1%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRD37.8%
  • PT25.4%
  • MORENA19.7%
  • PISSI8.6%
  • PRI2.2%
  • PS2.0%
  • FXM1.1%
  • PAN0.6%
  • PAC0.2%
  • MC0.1%
  • PEST0.1%
  • PVEM0.0%
  • PANALT0.0%
  • PES0.0%
  • RSP0.0%
Results for event-cd37e83bb5a7a02c4a3a985b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRDmexico/Sfce0e4064a/20211,21337.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sfce0e4064a/202181425.4%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sfce0e4064a/202163219.7%UnknownRecorded
PISSImexico/Sfce0e4064a/20212778.6%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sfce0e4064a/2021692.2%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/Sfce0e4064a/2021632%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sfce0e4064a/2021361.1%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sfce0e4064a/2021180.6%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Sfce0e4064a/202160.2%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sfce0e4064a/202140.1%UnknownRecorded
PESTmexico/Sfce0e4064a/202120.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sfce0e4064a/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/Sfce0e4064a/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sfce0e4064a/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sfce0e4064a/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN35.6%
  • PRD_PT26.3%
  • PRI_PANAL_PS14.3%
  • MC14.2%
  • MORENA3.1%
  • ES2.9%
  • PVEM1.4%
Results for event-25bd3be01cc3a151a0a0d957
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/Sb5c8668866/20161,04535.6%UnknownRecorded
PRD_PTmexico/Sb5c8668866/201677426.3%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PANAL_PSmexico/Sb5c8668866/201642014.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb5c8668866/201641714.2%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sb5c8668866/2016913.1%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/Sb5c8668866/2016842.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sb5c8668866/2016411.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

57.60–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.195462478184989, oldest_gap=9.435933147632316, previous_gap=12.731333758774728

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0.11634671320535195,0.6980802792321117,0.14543339150668994,29.406631762652705,0,29.290285049447352,35.602094240837694,4.741128563118092],[0.574345883854499,2.201659221442246,38.70453095086152,25.97319719208679,0,0.1276324186343331,20.165922144224634,12.25271218889598],[36.3857938718663,0,0,0,1.4275766016713092,14.51949860724234,3.168523676880223,44.49860724233983]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

83.88percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0.11634671320535195,0.6980802792321117,0.14543339150668994,29.406631762652705,0,29.290285049447352,35.602094240837694,4.741128563118092],[0.574345883854499,2.201659221442246,38.70453095086152,25.97319719208679,0,0.1276324186343331,20.165922144224634,12.25271218889598],[36.3857938718663,0,0,0,1.4275766016713092,14.51949860724234,3.168523676880223,44.49860724233983]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

65.95percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0.11634671320535195,0.6980802792321117,0.14543339150668994,29.406631762652705,0,29.290285049447352,35.602094240837694,4.741128563118092],[0.574345883854499,2.201659221442246,38.70453095086152,25.97319719208679,0,0.1276324186343331,20.165922144224634,12.25271218889598],[36.3857938718663,0,0,0,1.4275766016713092,14.51949860724234,3.168523676880223,44.49860724233983]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN LORENZO AXOCOMANITLA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-29-59. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S4fb334d0cf, mexico--Sfce0e4064a, mexico--Sb5c8668866.