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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LAZARO CARDENAS — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · LAZARO CARDENAS / TLAXCALA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-29-55

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LAZARO CARDENAS / TLAXCALA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-5e7f67f00822d8001f5c6e6e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT30.9%
  • PVEM27.4%
  • PRD20.3%
  • MC8.6%
  • PAC6.9%
  • PAN1.3%
  • PANALT0.7%
  • MORENA0.6%
  • PRI0.1%
  • PAN_PRI0.1%
  • RSP0.0%
  • FXM0.0%
Results for event-0328e164efde3e48c69ce6ce
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PTmexico/Sfe28ee0833/202462930.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sfe28ee0833/202455927.4%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sfe28ee0833/202441320.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sfe28ee0833/20241758.6%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Sfe28ee0833/20241406.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sfe28ee0833/2024271.3%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/Sfe28ee0833/2024140.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sfe28ee0833/2024130.6%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sfe28ee0833/202430.1%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/Sfe28ee0833/202420.1%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sfe28ee0833/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sfe28ee0833/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PES36.1%
  • PANALT15.5%
  • PT14.2%
  • CAND_IND169.6%
  • FXM7.9%
  • PAN3.5%
  • PRI3.5%
  • PVEM2.6%
  • PAC1.8%
  • MORENA1.5%
  • PS1.1%
  • PRD0.1%
  • RSP0.1%
  • MC0.0%
  • PEST0.0%
  • PISSI0.0%
Results for event-d53b9afb8e011df063cd89e6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PESmexico/S49a6c4510a/202172336.1%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S49a6c4510a/202131115.5%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S49a6c4510a/202128414.2%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND16mexico/S49a6c4510a/20211929.6%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S49a6c4510a/20211597.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S49a6c4510a/2021703.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S49a6c4510a/2021703.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S49a6c4510a/2021532.6%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S49a6c4510a/2021361.8%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S49a6c4510a/2021301.5%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S49a6c4510a/2021231.1%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S49a6c4510a/202120.1%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S49a6c4510a/202120.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S49a6c4510a/202110%UnknownRecorded
PESTmexico/S49a6c4510a/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PISSImexico/S49a6c4510a/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM26.0%
  • PT24.1%
  • PS13.9%
  • ES13.4%
  • PRI9.7%
  • PAC5.7%
  • MORENA2.3%
  • PRD0.7%
  • PAN0.5%
Results for event-597fd61499c1d1c4cdeab279
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/Se6ce381d9a/201644926%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Se6ce381d9a/201641624.1%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/Se6ce381d9a/201623913.9%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/Se6ce381d9a/201623213.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Se6ce381d9a/20161679.7%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Se6ce381d9a/2016985.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Se6ce381d9a/2016392.3%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Se6ce381d9a/2016120.7%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Se6ce381d9a/201680.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

56.780–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.544303797468352, oldest_gap=1.9879518072289173, previous_gap=21.063394683026587

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

72.54percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.3670886075949367,0.1518987341772152,20.911392405063292,31.848101265822784,28.303797468354432,8.860759493670885,0.6582278481012658,7.898734177215189],[3.5787321063394684,3.5787321063394684,0.10224948875255624,14.519427402862986,2.7096114519427403,0.05112474437627812,1.5337423312883436,73.92638036809817],[0.4819277108433735,10.060240963855422,0.7228915662650602,25.06024096385542,27.048192771084338,0,2.3493975903614457,34.27710843373494]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.8percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.3670886075949367,0.1518987341772152,20.911392405063292,31.848101265822784,28.303797468354432,8.860759493670885,0.6582278481012658,7.898734177215189],[3.5787321063394684,3.5787321063394684,0.10224948875255624,14.519427402862986,2.7096114519427403,0.05112474437627812,1.5337423312883436,73.92638036809817],[0.4819277108433735,10.060240963855422,0.7228915662650602,25.06024096385542,27.048192771084338,0,2.3493975903614457,34.27710843373494]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.3670886075949367,0.1518987341772152,20.911392405063292,31.848101265822784,28.303797468354432,8.860759493670885,0.6582278481012658,7.898734177215189],[3.5787321063394684,3.5787321063394684,0.10224948875255624,14.519427402862986,2.7096114519427403,0.05112474437627812,1.5337423312883436,73.92638036809817],[0.4819277108433735,10.060240963855422,0.7228915662650602,25.06024096385542,27.048192771084338,0,2.3493975903614457,34.27710843373494]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LAZARO CARDENAS — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-29-55. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sfe28ee0833, mexico--S49a6c4510a, mexico--Se6ce381d9a.