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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

EMILIANO ZAPATA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · EMILIANO ZAPATA / TLAXCALA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-29-54

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
EMILIANO ZAPATA / TLAXCALA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-434fc5924aba24ef08482c2a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI36.1%
  • MC23.3%
  • PVEM21.7%
  • MORENA13.9%
  • FXM0.8%
  • PT0.5%
  • PAC0.2%
  • PANALT0.1%
  • PRD0.0%
  • RSP0.0%
Results for event-a6e61c3c6f0fe902bd6908c5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRImexico/S0fd90ef148/20241,09236.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S0fd90ef148/202470523.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S0fd90ef148/202465621.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S0fd90ef148/202442113.9%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S0fd90ef148/2024230.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S0fd90ef148/2024140.5%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S0fd90ef148/202450.2%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S0fd90ef148/202430.1%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S0fd90ef148/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S0fd90ef148/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI44.4%
  • FXM25.6%
  • MORENA12.5%
  • CAND_IND159.5%
  • PS3.1%
  • PES0.6%
  • PRD0.5%
  • RSP0.5%
  • PVEM0.4%
  • PAN0.3%
  • PANALT0.3%
  • MC0.3%
  • PT0.3%
  • PAC0.0%
  • PEST0.0%
  • PISSI0.0%
Results for event-8cf1ad129208b65a441ebe28
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/S034aa77fe6/20211,20344.4%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S034aa77fe6/202169425.6%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S034aa77fe6/202133812.5%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND15mexico/S034aa77fe6/20212579.5%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S034aa77fe6/2021843.1%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S034aa77fe6/2021150.6%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S034aa77fe6/2021130.5%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S034aa77fe6/2021130.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S034aa77fe6/2021100.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S034aa77fe6/202190.3%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S034aa77fe6/202190.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S034aa77fe6/202180.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S034aa77fe6/202170.3%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S034aa77fe6/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PESTmexico/S034aa77fe6/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PISSImexico/S034aa77fe6/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI_PVEM36.3%
  • PS33.5%
  • PAN23.8%
  • MORENA3.5%
  • MC0.6%
Results for event-dd13f7c0b7730deca0d3f90e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRI_PVEMmexico/S74e2474d69/201690536.3%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S74e2474d69/201683633.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S74e2474d69/201659523.8%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S74e2474d69/2016873.5%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S74e2474d69/2016140.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

30.110–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.25796505652621, oldest_gap=2.8313500205170286, previous_gap=19.13533834586466

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.88percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.47961630695443647,22.473449811579307,24.152106885919835,14.422747516272697,38.472079479273724],[0.3383458646616541,45.225563909774436,0.48872180451127817,0.2631578947368421,0.37593984962406013,0.3007518796992481,12.706766917293233,40.30075187969925],[24.41526466967583,0,0,0,0,0.5744768157570784,3.5699630693475584,71.44029544521953]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

55.49percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.47961630695443647,22.473449811579307,24.152106885919835,14.422747516272697,38.472079479273724],[0.3383458646616541,45.225563909774436,0.48872180451127817,0.2631578947368421,0.37593984962406013,0.3007518796992481,12.706766917293233,40.30075187969925],[24.41526466967583,0,0,0,0,0.5744768157570784,3.5699630693475584,71.44029544521953]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.47961630695443647,22.473449811579307,24.152106885919835,14.422747516272697,38.472079479273724],[0.3383458646616541,45.225563909774436,0.48872180451127817,0.2631578947368421,0.37593984962406013,0.3007518796992481,12.706766917293233,40.30075187969925],[24.41526466967583,0,0,0,0,0.5744768157570784,3.5699630693475584,71.44029544521953]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “EMILIANO ZAPATA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-29-54. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S0fd90ef148, mexico--S034aa77fe6, mexico--S74e2474d69.